Current forecast guidance from multiple models shows Madrid's minimum temperature on August 27 most likely falling between 16–18 °C, driven by increased low-level moisture, widespread cloud cover, and light showers under southwest flow that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Persistent stratus and light precipitation (0.1–2 mm in some runs) will trap heat near the surface, while modest winds of 3–6 m/s further reduce the diurnal temperature range compared with clearer conditions. This places the expected low slightly below the 1991–2020 climatological average of 18.4 °C. Model spread in exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing creates the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 16–18 °C, with lower outcomes requiring stronger clearing and higher ones needing drier, calmer air than currently indicated.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月27日馬德裏最低氣溫？
8月27日馬德裏最低氣溫？
17°C 32%
18°C 31%
16°C 26%
14°C 22%
最新
最新
2026-08-27
13°C or below
1%
14°C
22%
15°C
13%
16°C
26%
17°C
32%
18°C
31%
19°C
10%
20°C
5%
21°C
2%
22°C
3%
23°C or higher
15%
17°C 32%
18°C 31%
16°C 26%
14°C 22%
最新
最新
2026-08-27
13°C or below
$145 交易量
1%
14°C
$5 交易量
22%
15°C
$30 交易量
13%
16°C
$0 交易量
26%
17°C
$0 交易量
32%
18°C
$0 交易量
31%
19°C
$0 交易量
10%
20°C
$0 交易量
5%
21°C
$65 交易量
2%
22°C
$16 交易量
3%
23°C or higher
$135 交易量
15%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast guidance from multiple models shows Madrid's minimum temperature on August 27 most likely falling between 16–18 °C, driven by increased low-level moisture, widespread cloud cover, and light showers under southwest flow that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Persistent stratus and light precipitation (0.1–2 mm in some runs) will trap heat near the surface, while modest winds of 3–6 m/s further reduce the diurnal temperature range compared with clearer conditions. This places the expected low slightly below the 1991–2020 climatological average of 18.4 °C. Model spread in exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing creates the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 16–18 °C, with lower outcomes requiring stronger clearing and higher ones needing drier, calmer air than currently indicated.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$396結束日期
2026-08-27市場開放時間
Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast guidance from multiple models shows Madrid's minimum temperature on August 27 most likely falling between 16–18 °C, driven by increased low-level moisture, widespread cloud cover, and light showers under southwest flow that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Persistent stratus and light precipitation (0.1–2 mm in some runs) will trap heat near the surface, while modest winds of 3–6 m/s further reduce the diurnal temperature range compared with clearer conditions. This places the expected low slightly below the 1991–2020 climatological average of 18.4 °C. Model spread in exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing creates the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 16–18 °C, with lower outcomes requiring stronger clearing and higher ones needing drier, calmer air than currently indicated.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$396結束日期
2026-08-27市場開放時間
Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ETCurrent forecast guidance from multiple models shows Madrid's minimum temperature on August 27 most likely falling between 16–18 °C, driven by increased low-level moisture, widespread cloud cover, and light showers under southwest flow that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Persistent stratus and light precipitation (0.1–2 mm in some runs) will trap heat near the surface, while modest winds of 3–6 m/s further reduce the diurnal temperature range compared with clearer conditions. This places the expected low slightly below the 1991–2020 climatological average of 18.4 °C. Model spread in exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing creates the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 16–18 °C, with lower outcomes requiring stronger clearing and higher ones needing drier, calmer air than currently indicated.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions