Recent numerical weather prediction runs from models including ECMWF and GFS show Wuhan under persistent high pressure and clear skies through August 27, favoring peak temperatures of 37–38°C. Low-level easterly flow and limited moisture keep dew points moderate, supporting strong daytime heating, while any brief afternoon convection could cap the maximum. Trader sentiment clusters around these values because model consensus remains tight yet allows for small differences in boundary-layer mixing and insolation that typically separate 37°C from 39°C outcomes. Updated model cycles and official China Meteorological Administration guidance expected within 48 hours will likely narrow the distribution ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月27日武漢氣溫最高？
8月27日武漢氣溫最高？
38°C 33%
39°C 28%
37°C 26%
36°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-27
32°C or below
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
1%
35°C
3%
36°C
11%
37°C
26%
38°C
33%
39°C
28%
40°C
5%
41°C
6%
42°C or higher
5%
38°C 33%
39°C 28%
37°C 26%
36°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-27
32°C or below
$361 交易量
<1%
33°C
$361 交易量
<1%
34°C
$0 交易量
1%
35°C
$10 交易量
3%
36°C
$12 交易量
11%
37°C
$20 交易量
26%
38°C
$7 交易量
33%
39°C
$25 交易量
28%
40°C
$12 交易量
5%
41°C
$0 交易量
6%
42°C or higher
$0 交易量
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction runs from models including ECMWF and GFS show Wuhan under persistent high pressure and clear skies through August 27, favoring peak temperatures of 37–38°C. Low-level easterly flow and limited moisture keep dew points moderate, supporting strong daytime heating, while any brief afternoon convection could cap the maximum. Trader sentiment clusters around these values because model consensus remains tight yet allows for small differences in boundary-layer mixing and insolation that typically separate 37°C from 39°C outcomes. Updated model cycles and official China Meteorological Administration guidance expected within 48 hours will likely narrow the distribution ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 25, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$808結束日期
2026-08-27市場開放時間
Aug 25, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction runs from models including ECMWF and GFS show Wuhan under persistent high pressure and clear skies through August 27, favoring peak temperatures of 37–38°C. Low-level easterly flow and limited moisture keep dew points moderate, supporting strong daytime heating, while any brief afternoon convection could cap the maximum. Trader sentiment clusters around these values because model consensus remains tight yet allows for small differences in boundary-layer mixing and insolation that typically separate 37°C from 39°C outcomes. Updated model cycles and official China Meteorological Administration guidance expected within 48 hours will likely narrow the distribution ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$808結束日期
2026-08-27市場開放時間
Aug 25, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent numerical weather prediction runs from models including ECMWF and GFS show Wuhan under persistent high pressure and clear skies through August 27, favoring peak temperatures of 37–38°C. Low-level easterly flow and limited moisture keep dew points moderate, supporting strong daytime heating, while any brief afternoon convection could cap the maximum. Trader sentiment clusters around these values because model consensus remains tight yet allows for small differences in boundary-layer mixing and insolation that typically separate 37°C from 39°C outcomes. Updated model cycles and official China Meteorological Administration guidance expected within 48 hours will likely narrow the distribution ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions