Recent forecast model consensus from sources like GFS indicates a daytime high near 26–27°C in Paris on August 27, with scattered showers or thunderstorms possible amid an unstable air mass and southwesterly flow. This setup, following a brief warm period, introduces uncertainty in peak values because afternoon cloud cover and precipitation timing can suppress insolation and limit warming. Trader sentiment clusters around 26–28°C as models show minor spread in maximum temperatures, with historical late-August averages near 24°C providing context but recent observations of building instability favoring the upper end of that range. New high-resolution runs and observational updates from Météo-France will refine these details ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月27日巴黎最高溫度?
27°C 34%
28°C 24%
26°C 23%
25°C 10%
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
10%
26°C
23%
27°C
34%
28°C
24%
29°C
8%
30°C or higher
3%
27°C 34%
28°C 24%
26°C 23%
25°C 10%
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
10%
26°C
23%
27°C
34%
28°C
24%
29°C
8%
30°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecast model consensus from sources like GFS indicates a daytime high near 26–27°C in Paris on August 27, with scattered showers or thunderstorms possible amid an unstable air mass and southwesterly flow. This setup, following a brief warm period, introduces uncertainty in peak values because afternoon cloud cover and precipitation timing can suppress insolation and limit warming. Trader sentiment clusters around 26–28°C as models show minor spread in maximum temperatures, with historical late-August averages near 24°C providing context but recent observations of building instability favoring the upper end of that range. New high-resolution runs and observational updates from Météo-France will refine these details ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions