**Persistent upper-level ridging and a strong heat dome over the southern Plains have sustained extreme heat across Central Texas, with official NWS forecasts and model guidance pointing to a daily high near 104–106°F on August 26 under mostly sunny skies, light southerly flow, and minimal moisture.** Recent observations at Austin-Bergstrom and Camp Mabry stations show consecutive days in the 104–106°F range amid a Heat Advisory through 7 PM CDT on the 26th, aligning with climatological peaks for late August when average highs reach the upper 90s. Minor differences between the 102–103°F and 104–105°F bins in trader pricing reflect uncertainty around exact timing of any diurnal cloud development or subtle model shifts in boundary-layer mixing, while lower-probability outcomes above 106°F remain limited by the absence of stronger downslope or drier-air advection signals. Updated NWS and ensemble runs on the morning of the 26th will provide the final resolution inputs.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月26日奧斯汀的最高溫度？
8月26日奧斯汀的最高溫度？
104-105°F 43%
102-103°F 41%
106-107°F 14%
108-109°F 13%
最新
最新
2026-08-26
95°F or below
2%
96-97°F
1%
98-99°F
2%
100-101°F
10%
102-103°F
41%
104-105°F
43%
106-107°F
14%
108-109°F
13%
110-111°F
<1%
112-113°F
<1%
114°F or higher
<1%
104-105°F 43%
102-103°F 41%
106-107°F 14%
108-109°F 13%
最新
最新
2026-08-26
95°F or below
$0 交易量
2%
96-97°F
$30 交易量
1%
98-99°F
$295 交易量
2%
100-101°F
$62 交易量
10%
102-103°F
$159 交易量
41%
104-105°F
$183 交易量
43%
106-107°F
$97 交易量
14%
108-109°F
$5 交易量
13%
110-111°F
$35 交易量
<1%
112-113°F
$30 交易量
<1%
114°F or higher
$30 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent upper-level ridging and a strong heat dome over the southern Plains have sustained extreme heat across Central Texas, with official NWS forecasts and model guidance pointing to a daily high near 104–106°F on August 26 under mostly sunny skies, light southerly flow, and minimal moisture.** Recent observations at Austin-Bergstrom and Camp Mabry stations show consecutive days in the 104–106°F range amid a Heat Advisory through 7 PM CDT on the 26th, aligning with climatological peaks for late August when average highs reach the upper 90s. Minor differences between the 102–103°F and 104–105°F bins in trader pricing reflect uncertainty around exact timing of any diurnal cloud development or subtle model shifts in boundary-layer mixing, while lower-probability outcomes above 106°F remain limited by the absence of stronger downslope or drier-air advection signals. Updated NWS and ensemble runs on the morning of the 26th will provide the final resolution inputs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 24, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
交易量
$741結束日期
2026-08-26市場開放時間
Aug 24, 2026, 8:56 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent upper-level ridging and a strong heat dome over the southern Plains have sustained extreme heat across Central Texas, with official NWS forecasts and model guidance pointing to a daily high near 104–106°F on August 26 under mostly sunny skies, light southerly flow, and minimal moisture.** Recent observations at Austin-Bergstrom and Camp Mabry stations show consecutive days in the 104–106°F range amid a Heat Advisory through 7 PM CDT on the 26th, aligning with climatological peaks for late August when average highs reach the upper 90s. Minor differences between the 102–103°F and 104–105°F bins in trader pricing reflect uncertainty around exact timing of any diurnal cloud development or subtle model shifts in boundary-layer mixing, while lower-probability outcomes above 106°F remain limited by the absence of stronger downslope or drier-air advection signals. Updated NWS and ensemble runs on the morning of the 26th will provide the final resolution inputs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$741結束日期
2026-08-26市場開放時間
Aug 24, 2026, 8:56 PM ET**Persistent upper-level ridging and a strong heat dome over the southern Plains have sustained extreme heat across Central Texas, with official NWS forecasts and model guidance pointing to a daily high near 104–106°F on August 26 under mostly sunny skies, light southerly flow, and minimal moisture.** Recent observations at Austin-Bergstrom and Camp Mabry stations show consecutive days in the 104–106°F range amid a Heat Advisory through 7 PM CDT on the 26th, aligning with climatological peaks for late August when average highs reach the upper 90s. Minor differences between the 102–103°F and 104–105°F bins in trader pricing reflect uncertainty around exact timing of any diurnal cloud development or subtle model shifts in boundary-layer mixing, while lower-probability outcomes above 106°F remain limited by the absence of stronger downslope or drier-air advection signals. Updated NWS and ensemble runs on the morning of the 26th will provide the final resolution inputs.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions