Trader consensus on a 27°C minimum in Guangzhou on August 25 rests on official CMA forecasts and observational data showing overnight lows stabilizing near 26–27°C under persistent overcast skies, high humidity above 75%, and light northeasterly flow typical of late-August monsoon patterns. These conditions limit radiative cooling while aligning with climatological baselines where August minima average 25–26°C. Scattered showers and urban heat-island effects further anchor the floor near this level. A realistic shift could occur only with stronger-than-expected nocturnal clearing or an unforecast influx of cooler air from the north, though current model consensus shows low probability of such changes before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月25日廣州最低溫度？
8月25日廣州最低溫度？
27°C 100.0%
22°C或以下 <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$4,459 交易量
$4,459 交易量
2026-08-25
22°C或以下
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
是
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C或更高
否
27°C 100.0%
22°C或以下 <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$4,459 交易量
$4,459 交易量
2026-08-25
22°C或以下
$355 交易量
否
23°C
$148 交易量
否
24°C
$150 交易量
否
25°C
$85 交易量
否
26°C
$117 交易量
否
27°C
$1,652 交易量
是
28°C
$306 交易量
否
29°C
$647 交易量
否
30°C
$289 交易量
否
31°C
$215 交易量
否
32°C或更高
$495 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on a 27°C minimum in Guangzhou on August 25 rests on official CMA forecasts and observational data showing overnight lows stabilizing near 26–27°C under persistent overcast skies, high humidity above 75%, and light northeasterly flow typical of late-August monsoon patterns. These conditions limit radiative cooling while aligning with climatological baselines where August minima average 25–26°C. Scattered showers and urban heat-island effects further anchor the floor near this level. A realistic shift could occur only with stronger-than-expected nocturnal clearing or an unforecast influx of cooler air from the north, though current model consensus shows low probability of such changes before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 23, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$4,459結束日期
2026-08-25市場開放時間
Aug 23, 2026, 12:31 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on a 27°C minimum in Guangzhou on August 25 rests on official CMA forecasts and observational data showing overnight lows stabilizing near 26–27°C under persistent overcast skies, high humidity above 75%, and light northeasterly flow typical of late-August monsoon patterns. These conditions limit radiative cooling while aligning with climatological baselines where August minima average 25–26°C. Scattered showers and urban heat-island effects further anchor the floor near this level. A realistic shift could occur only with stronger-than-expected nocturnal clearing or an unforecast influx of cooler air from the north, though current model consensus shows low probability of such changes before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$4,459結束日期
2026-08-25市場開放時間
Aug 23, 2026, 12:31 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Trader consensus on a 27°C minimum in Guangzhou on August 25 rests on official CMA forecasts and observational data showing overnight lows stabilizing near 26–27°C under persistent overcast skies, high humidity above 75%, and light northeasterly flow typical of late-August monsoon patterns. These conditions limit radiative cooling while aligning with climatological baselines where August minima average 25–26°C. Scattered showers and urban heat-island effects further anchor the floor near this level. A realistic shift could occur only with stronger-than-expected nocturnal clearing or an unforecast influx of cooler air from the north, though current model consensus shows low probability of such changes before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions