Recent forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and supporting models indicate Moscow will experience partly cloudy skies with light precipitation and northwesterly winds of 5-10 m/s, producing an overnight low near 12°C on August 26. This aligns with climatological norms for late August, where average minimums hover around 11-12°C, and current surface pressure and dew point readings limit further radiational cooling. Trader consensus at 96.5% implied probability for 12°C reflects tight model agreement across runs, with only narrow uncertainty from localized cloud breaks or measurement timing at official stations. A sharper-than-expected clear spell or revised observational data could still shift the recorded minimum toward 10-11°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月26日莫斯科最低溫度？
8月26日莫斯科最低溫度？
12°C 99.5%
9°C 1.0%
10°C 1.0%
11°C 1.0%
$2,848 交易量
$2,848 交易量
2026-08-26
7°C or below
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
Yes
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C or higher
No
12°C 99.5%
9°C 1.0%
10°C 1.0%
11°C 1.0%
$2,848 交易量
$2,848 交易量
2026-08-26
7°C or below
$40 交易量
No
8°C
$90 交易量
No
9°C
$151 交易量
No
10°C
$76 交易量
No
11°C
$79 交易量
No
12°C
$252 交易量
Yes
13°C
$113 交易量
No
14°C
$337 交易量
No
15°C
$924 交易量
No
16°C
$350 交易量
No
17°C or higher
$435 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and supporting models indicate Moscow will experience partly cloudy skies with light precipitation and northwesterly winds of 5-10 m/s, producing an overnight low near 12°C on August 26. This aligns with climatological norms for late August, where average minimums hover around 11-12°C, and current surface pressure and dew point readings limit further radiational cooling. Trader consensus at 96.5% implied probability for 12°C reflects tight model agreement across runs, with only narrow uncertainty from localized cloud breaks or measurement timing at official stations. A sharper-than-expected clear spell or revised observational data could still shift the recorded minimum toward 10-11°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 24, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$2,848結束日期
2026-08-26市場開放時間
Aug 24, 2026, 12:31 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and supporting models indicate Moscow will experience partly cloudy skies with light precipitation and northwesterly winds of 5-10 m/s, producing an overnight low near 12°C on August 26. This aligns with climatological norms for late August, where average minimums hover around 11-12°C, and current surface pressure and dew point readings limit further radiational cooling. Trader consensus at 96.5% implied probability for 12°C reflects tight model agreement across runs, with only narrow uncertainty from localized cloud breaks or measurement timing at official stations. A sharper-than-expected clear spell or revised observational data could still shift the recorded minimum toward 10-11°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,848結束日期
2026-08-26市場開放時間
Aug 24, 2026, 12:31 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Recent forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and supporting models indicate Moscow will experience partly cloudy skies with light precipitation and northwesterly winds of 5-10 m/s, producing an overnight low near 12°C on August 26. This aligns with climatological norms for late August, where average minimums hover around 11-12°C, and current surface pressure and dew point readings limit further radiational cooling. Trader consensus at 96.5% implied probability for 12°C reflects tight model agreement across runs, with only narrow uncertainty from localized cloud breaks or measurement timing at official stations. A sharper-than-expected clear spell or revised observational data could still shift the recorded minimum toward 10-11°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions