Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center indicate a Moscow minimum near 14°C on August 31, driven by variable cloud cover, light rain, and moderate westerly-southwesterly winds at 3–10 m/s under stable ~750 mmHg pressure. These conditions limit nocturnal radiative cooling while advecting milder air, distinguishing bins clustered around 10–14°C from cooler outcomes that would require clearer skies or stronger northerly flow. Daytime highs of 22–24°C further constrain overnight drops, though model spread in cloud timing and wind keeps multiple temperature thresholds closely matched in trader consensus.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月31日莫斯科最低溫度？
8月31日莫斯科最低溫度？
14°C 99.5%
12°C 16%
11°C 1.0%
13°C 1.0%
$1,272 交易量
$1,272 交易量
2026-08-31
9°C or below
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
Yes
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C or higher
No
14°C 99.5%
12°C 16%
11°C 1.0%
13°C 1.0%
$1,272 交易量
$1,272 交易量
2026-08-31
9°C or below
$163 交易量
No
10°C
$132 交易量
No
11°C
$32 交易量
No
12°C
$20 交易量
No
13°C
$0 交易量
No
14°C
$205 交易量
Yes
15°C
$108 交易量
No
16°C
$275 交易量
No
17°C
$40 交易量
No
18°C
$60 交易量
No
19°C or higher
$236 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center indicate a Moscow minimum near 14°C on August 31, driven by variable cloud cover, light rain, and moderate westerly-southwesterly winds at 3–10 m/s under stable ~750 mmHg pressure. These conditions limit nocturnal radiative cooling while advecting milder air, distinguishing bins clustered around 10–14°C from cooler outcomes that would require clearer skies or stronger northerly flow. Daytime highs of 22–24°C further constrain overnight drops, though model spread in cloud timing and wind keeps multiple temperature thresholds closely matched in trader consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 29, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$1,272結束日期
2026-08-31市場開放時間
Aug 29, 2026, 12:31 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center indicate a Moscow minimum near 14°C on August 31, driven by variable cloud cover, light rain, and moderate westerly-southwesterly winds at 3–10 m/s under stable ~750 mmHg pressure. These conditions limit nocturnal radiative cooling while advecting milder air, distinguishing bins clustered around 10–14°C from cooler outcomes that would require clearer skies or stronger northerly flow. Daytime highs of 22–24°C further constrain overnight drops, though model spread in cloud timing and wind keeps multiple temperature thresholds closely matched in trader consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,272結束日期
2026-08-31市場開放時間
Aug 29, 2026, 12:31 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center indicate a Moscow minimum near 14°C on August 31, driven by variable cloud cover, light rain, and moderate westerly-southwesterly winds at 3–10 m/s under stable ~750 mmHg pressure. These conditions limit nocturnal radiative cooling while advecting milder air, distinguishing bins clustered around 10–14°C from cooler outcomes that would require clearer skies or stronger northerly flow. Daytime highs of 22–24°C further constrain overnight drops, though model spread in cloud timing and wind keeps multiple temperature thresholds closely matched in trader consensus.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions