Recent forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and GFS model runs indicate Moscow will see partly cloudy conditions with possible showers or thunderstorms on September 1, 2026, supporting a daytime high near 24–26°C but an overnight minimum around 16–17°C. Trader consensus heavily favoring a 10°C low reflects aggregated assessment of model outputs and historical September climatology, where early-month minima often dip below long-term averages under southerly flow and cloud cover. Official resolution will rely on verified station data from Moscow, with limited scope for revision once the calendar day closes. Scenarios that could shift odds include unexpected radiative cooling under clearing skies or a sharper cold front, though current guidance shows low probability of sub-12°C readings.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月1日莫斯科最低溫度？
9月1日莫斯科最低溫度？
10°C 99.5%
9°C or below 1.0%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$1,368 交易量
$1,368 交易量
2026-09-01
9°C or below
No
10°C
Yes
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C or higher
No
10°C 99.5%
9°C or below 1.0%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$1,368 交易量
$1,368 交易量
2026-09-01
9°C or below
$93 交易量
No
10°C
$155 交易量
Yes
11°C
$235 交易量
No
12°C
$45 交易量
No
13°C
$45 交易量
No
14°C
$45 交易量
No
15°C
$45 交易量
No
16°C
$65 交易量
No
17°C
$54 交易量
No
18°C
$75 交易量
No
19°C or higher
$511 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and GFS model runs indicate Moscow will see partly cloudy conditions with possible showers or thunderstorms on September 1, 2026, supporting a daytime high near 24–26°C but an overnight minimum around 16–17°C. Trader consensus heavily favoring a 10°C low reflects aggregated assessment of model outputs and historical September climatology, where early-month minima often dip below long-term averages under southerly flow and cloud cover. Official resolution will rely on verified station data from Moscow, with limited scope for revision once the calendar day closes. Scenarios that could shift odds include unexpected radiative cooling under clearing skies or a sharper cold front, though current guidance shows low probability of sub-12°C readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 30, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$1,368結束日期
2026-09-01市場開放時間
Aug 30, 2026, 12:31 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and GFS model runs indicate Moscow will see partly cloudy conditions with possible showers or thunderstorms on September 1, 2026, supporting a daytime high near 24–26°C but an overnight minimum around 16–17°C. Trader consensus heavily favoring a 10°C low reflects aggregated assessment of model outputs and historical September climatology, where early-month minima often dip below long-term averages under southerly flow and cloud cover. Official resolution will rely on verified station data from Moscow, with limited scope for revision once the calendar day closes. Scenarios that could shift odds include unexpected radiative cooling under clearing skies or a sharper cold front, though current guidance shows low probability of sub-12°C readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,368結束日期
2026-09-01市場開放時間
Aug 30, 2026, 12:31 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Recent forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and GFS model runs indicate Moscow will see partly cloudy conditions with possible showers or thunderstorms on September 1, 2026, supporting a daytime high near 24–26°C but an overnight minimum around 16–17°C. Trader consensus heavily favoring a 10°C low reflects aggregated assessment of model outputs and historical September climatology, where early-month minima often dip below long-term averages under southerly flow and cloud cover. Official resolution will rely on verified station data from Moscow, with limited scope for revision once the calendar day closes. Scenarios that could shift odds include unexpected radiative cooling under clearing skies or a sharper cold front, though current guidance shows low probability of sub-12°C readings.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions