Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center project a nighttime minimum of 6°C in Moscow on September 8 under partly cloudy skies, northwesterly winds of 4–11 m/s, and high pressure favoring radiative cooling. This aligns with observed evening temperatures near 10–11°C dropping overnight, consistent with cooler-than-average conditions relative to the 9.3°C climatological low. Trader consensus at 94% implied probability for 6°C reflects strong alignment across forecast models and official guidance, with limited divergence expected before resolution. A shift to 5°C or below remains possible if clearer skies enhance cooling or measurements record a brief dip, while persistent cloud cover or wind changes could keep the low near or above 7°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月8日莫斯科最低溫度？
9月8日莫斯科最低溫度？
6°C 95%
4°C或以下 <1%
5°C <1%
7°C <1%
$2,449 交易量
$2,449 交易量
2026-09-08
4°C或以下
否
5°C
否
6°C
是
7°C
否
8°C
否
9°C
否
10°C
否
11°C
否
12°C
否
13°C
否
14°C或以上
否
6°C 95%
4°C或以下 <1%
5°C <1%
7°C <1%
$2,449 交易量
$2,449 交易量
2026-09-08
4°C或以下
$109 交易量
否
5°C
$136 交易量
否
6°C
$141 交易量
是
7°C
$294 交易量
否
8°C
$357 交易量
否
9°C
$213 交易量
否
10°C
$320 交易量
否
11°C
$115 交易量
否
12°C
$415 交易量
否
13°C
$288 交易量
否
14°C或以上
$60 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center project a nighttime minimum of 6°C in Moscow on September 8 under partly cloudy skies, northwesterly winds of 4–11 m/s, and high pressure favoring radiative cooling. This aligns with observed evening temperatures near 10–11°C dropping overnight, consistent with cooler-than-average conditions relative to the 9.3°C climatological low. Trader consensus at 94% implied probability for 6°C reflects strong alignment across forecast models and official guidance, with limited divergence expected before resolution. A shift to 5°C or below remains possible if clearer skies enhance cooling or measurements record a brief dip, while persistent cloud cover or wind changes could keep the low near or above 7°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$2,449結束日期
2026-09-08市場開放時間
Sep 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center project a nighttime minimum of 6°C in Moscow on September 8 under partly cloudy skies, northwesterly winds of 4–11 m/s, and high pressure favoring radiative cooling. This aligns with observed evening temperatures near 10–11°C dropping overnight, consistent with cooler-than-average conditions relative to the 9.3°C climatological low. Trader consensus at 94% implied probability for 6°C reflects strong alignment across forecast models and official guidance, with limited divergence expected before resolution. A shift to 5°C or below remains possible if clearer skies enhance cooling or measurements record a brief dip, while persistent cloud cover or wind changes could keep the low near or above 7°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,449結束日期
2026-09-08市場開放時間
Sep 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center project a nighttime minimum of 6°C in Moscow on September 8 under partly cloudy skies, northwesterly winds of 4–11 m/s, and high pressure favoring radiative cooling. This aligns with observed evening temperatures near 10–11°C dropping overnight, consistent with cooler-than-average conditions relative to the 9.3°C climatological low. Trader consensus at 94% implied probability for 6°C reflects strong alignment across forecast models and official guidance, with limited divergence expected before resolution. A shift to 5°C or below remains possible if clearer skies enhance cooling or measurements record a brief dip, while persistent cloud cover or wind changes could keep the low near or above 7°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions