Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and supporting models indicate a nighttime minimum near 9–12°C on August 29, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with light southeasterly winds of 3–8 m/s and possible scattered showers. This aligns closely with the climatological average low of 11.2°C for the date and recent observational trends showing gradual cooling after mid-August warmth. Trader consensus at 90.5% for a 12°C low reflects the tight clustering of ensemble outputs around this threshold, with resolution hinging on official station readings. A clear-sky radiative cooling episode or localized microclimate effect could push the actual minimum below 11°C, while stronger mixing or delayed cloud cover might keep it at or above 13°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月29日莫斯科最低溫度?
12°C 91%
9°C 7%
3°C or below <1%
4°C <1%
$1,605 交易量
$1,605 交易量
3°C or below
<1%
4°C
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
7%
12°C
91%
13°C or higher
<1%
12°C 91%
9°C 7%
3°C or below <1%
4°C <1%
$1,605 交易量
$1,605 交易量
3°C or below
<1%
4°C
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
7%
12°C
91%
13°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
已提議結果: No
爭議期
最終
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提議結果: No
爭議期
最終
Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and supporting models indicate a nighttime minimum near 9–12°C on August 29, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with light southeasterly winds of 3–8 m/s and possible scattered showers. This aligns closely with the climatological average low of 11.2°C for the date and recent observational trends showing gradual cooling after mid-August warmth. Trader consensus at 90.5% for a 12°C low reflects the tight clustering of ensemble outputs around this threshold, with resolution hinging on official station readings. A clear-sky radiative cooling episode or localized microclimate effect could push the actual minimum below 11°C, while stronger mixing or delayed cloud cover might keep it at or above 13°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions