Forecast models from the National Weather Service and other agencies converge on highs in the upper 70s for Seattle on August 24, driven by a building high-pressure ridge that promotes sunny skies, northerly winds of 10–20 mph, and limited marine influence. This setup favors peak readings near 78–79°F, aligning with the market's leading implied probability, while some guidance allows for 80–81°F if daytime heating strengthens amid patchy smoke from regional wildfires. Historical August averages near 76°F provide context, but current conditions show drier air and clearer skies than typical. Traders weigh the narrow spread between official forecasts and potential local variations, with final observations resolving the market as the day progresses.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月24日西雅圖的最高溫度?
78-79°F 43%
80-81°F 23%
76-77°F 22%
74-75°F 6%
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
2%
74-75°F
6%
76-77°F
22%
78-79°F
43%
80-81°F
23%
82-83°F
5%
84-85°F
1%
86°F or higher
<1%
78-79°F 43%
80-81°F 23%
76-77°F 22%
74-75°F 6%
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
2%
74-75°F
6%
76-77°F
22%
78-79°F
43%
80-81°F
23%
82-83°F
5%
84-85°F
1%
86°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models from the National Weather Service and other agencies converge on highs in the upper 70s for Seattle on August 24, driven by a building high-pressure ridge that promotes sunny skies, northerly winds of 10–20 mph, and limited marine influence. This setup favors peak readings near 78–79°F, aligning with the market's leading implied probability, while some guidance allows for 80–81°F if daytime heating strengthens amid patchy smoke from regional wildfires. Historical August averages near 76°F provide context, but current conditions show drier air and clearer skies than typical. Traders weigh the narrow spread between official forecasts and potential local variations, with final observations resolving the market as the day progresses.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions