Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS runs and Israeli Meteorological Service guidance, indicate a peak temperature near 31–33°C for Tel Aviv on August 25 under clear skies, moderate westerly to northwesterly sea breezes, and high pressure. These conditions promote strong daytime heating but limit extremes through coastal moderation and typical August humidity levels around 50–65%. Historical August averages near 31–32°C provide context, with no heatwave signals or anomalous warming evident in current observations. The market-implied 88% probability on 33°C reflects trader assessment of this consensus range, while the smaller 11.5% allocation to 34°C accounts for minor upside potential if insolation exceeds expectations or winds weaken slightly before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月25日特拉維夫的最高溫度？
8月25日特拉維夫的最高溫度？
33°C 88%
34°C 12%
35°C <1%
29°C or below <1%
$23,226 交易量
$23,226 交易量
2026-08-25
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
88%
34°C
12%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
33°C 88%
34°C 12%
35°C <1%
29°C or below <1%
$23,226 交易量
$23,226 交易量
2026-08-25
29°C or below
$877 交易量
<1%
30°C
$1,233 交易量
<1%
31°C
$2,060 交易量
<1%
32°C
$4,426 交易量
<1%
33°C
$7,567 交易量
88%
34°C
$3,291 交易量
12%
35°C
$2,261 交易量
<1%
36°C
$624 交易量
<1%
37°C
$271 交易量
<1%
38°C
$593 交易量
<1%
39°C or higher
$294 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS runs and Israeli Meteorological Service guidance, indicate a peak temperature near 31–33°C for Tel Aviv on August 25 under clear skies, moderate westerly to northwesterly sea breezes, and high pressure. These conditions promote strong daytime heating but limit extremes through coastal moderation and typical August humidity levels around 50–65%. Historical August averages near 31–32°C provide context, with no heatwave signals or anomalous warming evident in current observations. The market-implied 88% probability on 33°C reflects trader assessment of this consensus range, while the smaller 11.5% allocation to 34°C accounts for minor upside potential if insolation exceeds expectations or winds weaken slightly before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$23,226結束日期
2026-08-25市場開放時間
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS runs and Israeli Meteorological Service guidance, indicate a peak temperature near 31–33°C for Tel Aviv on August 25 under clear skies, moderate westerly to northwesterly sea breezes, and high pressure. These conditions promote strong daytime heating but limit extremes through coastal moderation and typical August humidity levels around 50–65%. Historical August averages near 31–32°C provide context, with no heatwave signals or anomalous warming evident in current observations. The market-implied 88% probability on 33°C reflects trader assessment of this consensus range, while the smaller 11.5% allocation to 34°C accounts for minor upside potential if insolation exceeds expectations or winds weaken slightly before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$23,226結束日期
2026-08-25市場開放時間
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS runs and Israeli Meteorological Service guidance, indicate a peak temperature near 31–33°C for Tel Aviv on August 25 under clear skies, moderate westerly to northwesterly sea breezes, and high pressure. These conditions promote strong daytime heating but limit extremes through coastal moderation and typical August humidity levels around 50–65%. Historical August averages near 31–32°C provide context, with no heatwave signals or anomalous warming evident in current observations. The market-implied 88% probability on 33°C reflects trader assessment of this consensus range, while the smaller 11.5% allocation to 34°C accounts for minor upside potential if insolation exceeds expectations or winds weaken slightly before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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