Current forecasts for Tel Aviv indicate typical late-August Mediterranean conditions, with minimum temperatures expected between 22–25°C under clear, stable high-pressure influence and light winds. Official model consensus from sources like the Israel Meteorological Service and international ensembles supports this range, aligning with historical August lows averaging near 23–24°C. Trader sentiment, reflected in elevated implied probabilities for 23°C and 24°C outcomes, incorporates these data while pricing in modest forecast spread from potential nocturnal cooling variations or minor model shifts ahead of tomorrow's resolution. Warmer 28°C+ odds capture tail risks from heat retention, though recent observations show no anomalous warming trends. Updated model runs tonight will likely refine these probabilities before the daily minimum is recorded.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月25日特拉維夫的最低溫度?
28°C or higher 86%
21°C 28%
23°C 27%
24°C 27%
18°C or below
1%
19°C
5%
20°C
20%
21°C
28%
22°C
24%
23°C
27%
24°C
27%
25°C
24%
26°C
4%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
86%
28°C or higher 86%
21°C 28%
23°C 27%
24°C 27%
18°C or below
1%
19°C
5%
20°C
20%
21°C
28%
22°C
24%
23°C
27%
24°C
27%
25°C
24%
26°C
4%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
86%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts for Tel Aviv indicate typical late-August Mediterranean conditions, with minimum temperatures expected between 22–25°C under clear, stable high-pressure influence and light winds. Official model consensus from sources like the Israel Meteorological Service and international ensembles supports this range, aligning with historical August lows averaging near 23–24°C. Trader sentiment, reflected in elevated implied probabilities for 23°C and 24°C outcomes, incorporates these data while pricing in modest forecast spread from potential nocturnal cooling variations or minor model shifts ahead of tomorrow's resolution. Warmer 28°C+ odds capture tail risks from heat retention, though recent observations show no anomalous warming trends. Updated model runs tonight will likely refine these probabilities before the daily minimum is recorded.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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