**Stable high-pressure conditions and clear skies overnight have driven the strong market consensus toward a 25°C minimum in Tel Aviv on August 28.** Official forecasts from regional models and the Israel Meteorological Service consistently project overnight lows of 24–26°C under light winds and minimal cloud cover, aligning closely with late-August climatological norms of around 24–25°C. High daytime humidity and sea-breeze moderation have limited further cooling, keeping the expected floor near this threshold. The 95.5% implied probability reflects this model agreement and recent stability in observations. Only significant unexpected changes, such as increased wind or unforecast cloud cover enhancing radiative cooling, would realistically shift the recorded low below 24°C or above 26°C before final station readings.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月28日特拉維夫的最低溫度？
8月28日特拉維夫的最低溫度？
25°C 99.5%
23°C 7%
22°C 2%
24°C 1%
$3,581 交易量
$3,581 交易量
2026-08-28
19°C or below
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C or higher
No
25°C 99.5%
23°C 7%
22°C 2%
24°C 1%
$3,581 交易量
$3,581 交易量
2026-08-28
19°C or below
$1,515 交易量
No
20°C
$450 交易量
No
21°C
$101 交易量
No
22°C
$77 交易量
No
23°C
$43 交易量
No
24°C
$213 交易量
No
25°C
$308 交易量
Yes
26°C
$106 交易量
No
27°C
$100 交易量
No
28°C
$278 交易量
No
29°C or higher
$390 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Stable high-pressure conditions and clear skies overnight have driven the strong market consensus toward a 25°C minimum in Tel Aviv on August 28.** Official forecasts from regional models and the Israel Meteorological Service consistently project overnight lows of 24–26°C under light winds and minimal cloud cover, aligning closely with late-August climatological norms of around 24–25°C. High daytime humidity and sea-breeze moderation have limited further cooling, keeping the expected floor near this threshold. The 95.5% implied probability reflects this model agreement and recent stability in observations. Only significant unexpected changes, such as increased wind or unforecast cloud cover enhancing radiative cooling, would realistically shift the recorded low below 24°C or above 26°C before final station readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$3,581結束日期
2026-08-28市場開放時間
Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Stable high-pressure conditions and clear skies overnight have driven the strong market consensus toward a 25°C minimum in Tel Aviv on August 28.** Official forecasts from regional models and the Israel Meteorological Service consistently project overnight lows of 24–26°C under light winds and minimal cloud cover, aligning closely with late-August climatological norms of around 24–25°C. High daytime humidity and sea-breeze moderation have limited further cooling, keeping the expected floor near this threshold. The 95.5% implied probability reflects this model agreement and recent stability in observations. Only significant unexpected changes, such as increased wind or unforecast cloud cover enhancing radiative cooling, would realistically shift the recorded low below 24°C or above 26°C before final station readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,581結束日期
2026-08-28市場開放時間
Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
**Stable high-pressure conditions and clear skies overnight have driven the strong market consensus toward a 25°C minimum in Tel Aviv on August 28.** Official forecasts from regional models and the Israel Meteorological Service consistently project overnight lows of 24–26°C under light winds and minimal cloud cover, aligning closely with late-August climatological norms of around 24–25°C. High daytime humidity and sea-breeze moderation have limited further cooling, keeping the expected floor near this threshold. The 95.5% implied probability reflects this model agreement and recent stability in observations. Only significant unexpected changes, such as increased wind or unforecast cloud cover enhancing radiative cooling, would realistically shift the recorded low below 24°C or above 26°C before final station readings.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions