Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Ankara will experience clear skies, light northerly winds, and strong daytime solar insolation on September 4, supporting a peak temperature near 29–30 °C, slightly above the early-September climatological average of about 27 °C. The closely matched market probabilities for 28 °C and 29 °C reflect small differences in boundary-layer mixing, exact cloud timing, and model resolution of surface heating rates under high-pressure conditions. With minimal precipitation risk and stable steering patterns, traders are weighting the most recent ensemble guidance that keeps the daily maximum in this narrow range, while acknowledging typical forecast uncertainty of ±1–2 °C this close to the event.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月4日安卡拉的最高溫度？
9月4日安卡拉的最高溫度？
29°C 41%
28°C 39%
27°C 12%
30°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-09-04
24°C或以下
1%
25°C
4%
26°C
4%
27°C
12%
28°C
39%
29°C
41%
30°C
9%
31°C
5%
32°C
3%
33°C
1%
34°C或以上
1%
29°C 41%
28°C 39%
27°C 12%
30°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-09-04
24°C或以下
$0 交易量
1%
25°C
$20 交易量
4%
26°C
$139 交易量
4%
27°C
$96 交易量
12%
28°C
$164 交易量
39%
29°C
$196 交易量
41%
30°C
$47 交易量
9%
31°C
$63 交易量
5%
32°C
$0 交易量
3%
33°C
$0 交易量
1%
34°C或以上
$0 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Ankara will experience clear skies, light northerly winds, and strong daytime solar insolation on September 4, supporting a peak temperature near 29–30 °C, slightly above the early-September climatological average of about 27 °C. The closely matched market probabilities for 28 °C and 29 °C reflect small differences in boundary-layer mixing, exact cloud timing, and model resolution of surface heating rates under high-pressure conditions. With minimal precipitation risk and stable steering patterns, traders are weighting the most recent ensemble guidance that keeps the daily maximum in this narrow range, while acknowledging typical forecast uncertainty of ±1–2 °C this close to the event.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$726結束日期
2026-09-04市場開放時間
Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Ankara will experience clear skies, light northerly winds, and strong daytime solar insolation on September 4, supporting a peak temperature near 29–30 °C, slightly above the early-September climatological average of about 27 °C. The closely matched market probabilities for 28 °C and 29 °C reflect small differences in boundary-layer mixing, exact cloud timing, and model resolution of surface heating rates under high-pressure conditions. With minimal precipitation risk and stable steering patterns, traders are weighting the most recent ensemble guidance that keeps the daily maximum in this narrow range, while acknowledging typical forecast uncertainty of ±1–2 °C this close to the event.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$726結束日期
2026-09-04市場開放時間
Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent forecasts from multiple models indicate Ankara will experience clear skies, light northerly winds, and strong daytime solar insolation on September 4, supporting a peak temperature near 29–30 °C, slightly above the early-September climatological average of about 27 °C. The closely matched market probabilities for 28 °C and 29 °C reflect small differences in boundary-layer mixing, exact cloud timing, and model resolution of surface heating rates under high-pressure conditions. With minimal precipitation risk and stable steering patterns, traders are weighting the most recent ensemble guidance that keeps the daily maximum in this narrow range, while acknowledging typical forecast uncertainty of ±1–2 °C this close to the event.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions