Recent forecasts from multiple models, including those aligned with Israel Meteorological Service data, indicate a stable overnight low near 24–25°C for Tel Aviv on September 4, driven by warm Mediterranean sea surface temperatures, light variable winds, and persistent high pressure suppressing cooler air advection. This positions the 24°C outcome as the market leader at 55.5% implied probability, consistent with historical September minima averaging around 23–24°C but slightly elevated by current conditions. The 20°C-or-below category at 39% reflects residual uncertainty in model cooling rates, while higher thresholds like 25°C or 30°C+ command lower odds due to minimal expected deviation. No significant frontal systems or rapid changes have emerged in the past 48 hours to alter this consensus.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月4日特拉維夫的最低溫度？
9月4日特拉維夫的最低溫度？
20°C或以下 77%
24°C 55%
25°C 48%
30°C或更高 38%
最新
最新
2026-09-04
20°C或以下
77%
21°C
32%
22°C
31%
23°C
36%
24°C
55%
25°C
48%
26°C
8%
27°C
3%
28°C
3%
29°C
3%
30°C或更高
38%
20°C或以下 77%
24°C 55%
25°C 48%
30°C或更高 38%
最新
最新
2026-09-04
20°C或以下
$0 交易量
77%
21°C
$9 交易量
32%
22°C
$0 交易量
31%
23°C
$0 交易量
36%
24°C
$0 交易量
55%
25°C
$0 交易量
48%
26°C
$12 交易量
8%
27°C
$12 交易量
3%
28°C
$34 交易量
3%
29°C
$0 交易量
3%
30°C或更高
$0 交易量
38%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including those aligned with Israel Meteorological Service data, indicate a stable overnight low near 24–25°C for Tel Aviv on September 4, driven by warm Mediterranean sea surface temperatures, light variable winds, and persistent high pressure suppressing cooler air advection. This positions the 24°C outcome as the market leader at 55.5% implied probability, consistent with historical September minima averaging around 23–24°C but slightly elevated by current conditions. The 20°C-or-below category at 39% reflects residual uncertainty in model cooling rates, while higher thresholds like 25°C or 30°C+ command lower odds due to minimal expected deviation. No significant frontal systems or rapid changes have emerged in the past 48 hours to alter this consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$67結束日期
2026-09-04市場開放時間
Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including those aligned with Israel Meteorological Service data, indicate a stable overnight low near 24–25°C for Tel Aviv on September 4, driven by warm Mediterranean sea surface temperatures, light variable winds, and persistent high pressure suppressing cooler air advection. This positions the 24°C outcome as the market leader at 55.5% implied probability, consistent with historical September minima averaging around 23–24°C but slightly elevated by current conditions. The 20°C-or-below category at 39% reflects residual uncertainty in model cooling rates, while higher thresholds like 25°C or 30°C+ command lower odds due to minimal expected deviation. No significant frontal systems or rapid changes have emerged in the past 48 hours to alter this consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$67結束日期
2026-09-04市場開放時間
Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRecent forecasts from multiple models, including those aligned with Israel Meteorological Service data, indicate a stable overnight low near 24–25°C for Tel Aviv on September 4, driven by warm Mediterranean sea surface temperatures, light variable winds, and persistent high pressure suppressing cooler air advection. This positions the 24°C outcome as the market leader at 55.5% implied probability, consistent with historical September minima averaging around 23–24°C but slightly elevated by current conditions. The 20°C-or-below category at 39% reflects residual uncertainty in model cooling rates, while higher thresholds like 25°C or 30°C+ command lower odds due to minimal expected deviation. No significant frontal systems or rapid changes have emerged in the past 48 hours to alter this consensus.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions