Latest meteorological forecasts from multiple models, including European and regional ensembles, indicate a maximum temperature of 31–32°C in Tel Aviv on September 4 under mostly clear skies and moderate westerly winds. These conditions align with climatological norms for early September in the coastal plain, where sea breezes typically moderate daytime peaks near the long-term average high of 31°C. Recent model runs show minimal spread, with no significant warming or cooling signals from atmospheric patterns, supporting the market-implied 69.5% probability on 32°C as the leading outcome while leaving limited room for 31°C or 33°C deviations. Updated guidance expected from agencies like the Israel Meteorological Service could refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月4日特拉維夫的最高溫度？
9月4日特拉維夫的最高溫度？
32°C 70%
31°C 19%
33°C 11%
30°C 3%
最新
最新
2026-09-04
28°C或以下
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
19%
32°C
70%
33°C
11%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C或以上
<1%
32°C 70%
31°C 19%
33°C 11%
30°C 3%
最新
最新
2026-09-04
28°C或以下
$592 交易量
<1%
29°C
$342 交易量
1%
30°C
$197 交易量
3%
31°C
$449 交易量
19%
32°C
$1,545 交易量
70%
33°C
$1,155 交易量
11%
34°C
$164 交易量
2%
35°C
$253 交易量
<1%
36°C
$450 交易量
<1%
37°C
$435 交易量
<1%
38°C或以上
$297 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest meteorological forecasts from multiple models, including European and regional ensembles, indicate a maximum temperature of 31–32°C in Tel Aviv on September 4 under mostly clear skies and moderate westerly winds. These conditions align with climatological norms for early September in the coastal plain, where sea breezes typically moderate daytime peaks near the long-term average high of 31°C. Recent model runs show minimal spread, with no significant warming or cooling signals from atmospheric patterns, supporting the market-implied 69.5% probability on 32°C as the leading outcome while leaving limited room for 31°C or 33°C deviations. Updated guidance expected from agencies like the Israel Meteorological Service could refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$5,878結束日期
2026-09-04市場開放時間
Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest meteorological forecasts from multiple models, including European and regional ensembles, indicate a maximum temperature of 31–32°C in Tel Aviv on September 4 under mostly clear skies and moderate westerly winds. These conditions align with climatological norms for early September in the coastal plain, where sea breezes typically moderate daytime peaks near the long-term average high of 31°C. Recent model runs show minimal spread, with no significant warming or cooling signals from atmospheric patterns, supporting the market-implied 69.5% probability on 32°C as the leading outcome while leaving limited room for 31°C or 33°C deviations. Updated guidance expected from agencies like the Israel Meteorological Service could refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$5,878結束日期
2026-09-04市場開放時間
Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ETLatest meteorological forecasts from multiple models, including European and regional ensembles, indicate a maximum temperature of 31–32°C in Tel Aviv on September 4 under mostly clear skies and moderate westerly winds. These conditions align with climatological norms for early September in the coastal plain, where sea breezes typically moderate daytime peaks near the long-term average high of 31°C. Recent model runs show minimal spread, with no significant warming or cooling signals from atmospheric patterns, supporting the market-implied 69.5% probability on 32°C as the leading outcome while leaving limited room for 31°C or 33°C deviations. Updated guidance expected from agencies like the Israel Meteorological Service could refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions