Market-implied odds heavily favor 32°C as the highest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 3, reflecting strong consensus in short-range ensemble forecasts from regional models. Persistent high pressure, light northwesterly winds, and moderating Mediterranean sea breezes are expected to produce typical early-September conditions near the 31°C climatological average, with limited diurnal variability and no significant synoptic disruption. Moderate heat-stress alerts from the Israel Meteorological Service underscore stable warmth but no extreme buildup. Minor model spread around 30–33°C accounts for the secondary probabilities on adjacent outcomes, though fresh observational data or updated runs in the next 48 hours could refine the range before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月3日特拉維夫的最高溫度?
32°C 68%
33°C 20%
31°C 14%
30°C 3%
29°C or below
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
14%
32°C
68%
33°C
20%
34°C
2%
35°C
2%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
32°C 68%
33°C 20%
31°C 14%
30°C 3%
29°C or below
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
14%
32°C
68%
33°C
20%
34°C
2%
35°C
2%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market-implied odds heavily favor 32°C as the highest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 3, reflecting strong consensus in short-range ensemble forecasts from regional models. Persistent high pressure, light northwesterly winds, and moderating Mediterranean sea breezes are expected to produce typical early-September conditions near the 31°C climatological average, with limited diurnal variability and no significant synoptic disruption. Moderate heat-stress alerts from the Israel Meteorological Service underscore stable warmth but no extreme buildup. Minor model spread around 30–33°C accounts for the secondary probabilities on adjacent outcomes, though fresh observational data or updated runs in the next 48 hours could refine the range before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions