Recent short-term forecasts from multiple models, including those referenced by WeatherBug and The Weather Outlook, indicate a mostly sunny pattern with a maximum around 32–34 °C on September 1, driven by typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions featuring northwest winds and moderate humidity near 55–60 %. Historical climatology places early-September highs near 30–31 °C, so current guidance reflects a modest positive anomaly without extreme heatwave signals. Model consensus and limited day-to-day variability support the market's heavy weighting toward 32–33 °C outcomes, while resolution hinges on the official Israeli Meteorological Service reading; any last-minute shifts in steering flow or coastal cloud cover could adjust the final value within the narrow uncertainty band.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月1日特拉維夫的最高溫度?
33°C 59%
32°C 39%
31°C 8%
34°C 8%
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
8%
32°C
39%
33°C
59%
34°C
8%
35°C
5%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
33°C 59%
32°C 39%
31°C 8%
34°C 8%
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
8%
32°C
39%
33°C
59%
34°C
8%
35°C
5%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent short-term forecasts from multiple models, including those referenced by WeatherBug and The Weather Outlook, indicate a mostly sunny pattern with a maximum around 32–34 °C on September 1, driven by typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions featuring northwest winds and moderate humidity near 55–60 %. Historical climatology places early-September highs near 30–31 °C, so current guidance reflects a modest positive anomaly without extreme heatwave signals. Model consensus and limited day-to-day variability support the market's heavy weighting toward 32–33 °C outcomes, while resolution hinges on the official Israeli Meteorological Service reading; any last-minute shifts in steering flow or coastal cloud cover could adjust the final value within the narrow uncertainty band.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions