**Current forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and regional analyses, indicate the overnight low in Tel Aviv on September 5 will hold near 25°C under stable high pressure, clear to partly cloudy skies, and light northwesterly winds.** This aligns with the market's 92.5% implied probability for exactly 25°C as the daily minimum. Late-summer Mediterranean conditions, with sea surface temperatures near 28°C and minimal diurnal cooling, support these readings, consistent with recent observational trends showing overnight temperatures rarely falling below the mid-20s this week. Historical September averages near 21–22°C are exceeded due to the persistent warm pattern. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected increase in cloud cover or a late wind shift promoting greater radiative cooling, though latest model consensus shows low likelihood of such changes before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月5日特拉維夫的最低溫度？
9月5日特拉維夫的最低溫度？
25°C 99%
24°C 6%
21°C 4.0%
20°C或以下 <1%
$1,241 交易量
$1,241 交易量
2026-09-05
20°C或以下
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
是
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C或以上
否
25°C 99%
24°C 6%
21°C 4.0%
20°C或以下 <1%
$1,241 交易量
$1,241 交易量
2026-09-05
20°C或以下
$67 交易量
否
21°C
$103 交易量
否
22°C
$170 交易量
否
23°C
$164 交易量
否
24°C
$114 交易量
否
25°C
$513 交易量
是
26°C
$20 交易量
否
27°C
$30 交易量
否
28°C
$20 交易量
否
29°C
$20 交易量
否
30°C或以上
$20 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and regional analyses, indicate the overnight low in Tel Aviv on September 5 will hold near 25°C under stable high pressure, clear to partly cloudy skies, and light northwesterly winds.** This aligns with the market's 92.5% implied probability for exactly 25°C as the daily minimum. Late-summer Mediterranean conditions, with sea surface temperatures near 28°C and minimal diurnal cooling, support these readings, consistent with recent observational trends showing overnight temperatures rarely falling below the mid-20s this week. Historical September averages near 21–22°C are exceeded due to the persistent warm pattern. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected increase in cloud cover or a late wind shift promoting greater radiative cooling, though latest model consensus shows low likelihood of such changes before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 3, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$1,241結束日期
2026-09-05市場開放時間
Sep 3, 2026, 12:29 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and regional analyses, indicate the overnight low in Tel Aviv on September 5 will hold near 25°C under stable high pressure, clear to partly cloudy skies, and light northwesterly winds.** This aligns with the market's 92.5% implied probability for exactly 25°C as the daily minimum. Late-summer Mediterranean conditions, with sea surface temperatures near 28°C and minimal diurnal cooling, support these readings, consistent with recent observational trends showing overnight temperatures rarely falling below the mid-20s this week. Historical September averages near 21–22°C are exceeded due to the persistent warm pattern. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected increase in cloud cover or a late wind shift promoting greater radiative cooling, though latest model consensus shows low likelihood of such changes before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,241結束日期
2026-09-05市場開放時間
Sep 3, 2026, 12:29 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
**Current forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and regional analyses, indicate the overnight low in Tel Aviv on September 5 will hold near 25°C under stable high pressure, clear to partly cloudy skies, and light northwesterly winds.** This aligns with the market's 92.5% implied probability for exactly 25°C as the daily minimum. Late-summer Mediterranean conditions, with sea surface temperatures near 28°C and minimal diurnal cooling, support these readings, consistent with recent observational trends showing overnight temperatures rarely falling below the mid-20s this week. Historical September averages near 21–22°C are exceeded due to the persistent warm pattern. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected increase in cloud cover or a late wind shift promoting greater radiative cooling, though latest model consensus shows low likelihood of such changes before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions