Recent forecast consensus from global and regional models points to a daily maximum near 31–32°C in Tel Aviv on September 7, reflecting typical early-September Mediterranean conditions with light westerly winds, minimal cloud cover, and stable high pressure. This positions the 32°C outcome as the leading market-implied probability, while the narrower spread to 33°C accounts for minor model variability in afternoon heating and urban heat-island effects. No significant synoptic shifts or heat-wave indicators have emerged in the past 48 hours, keeping probabilities tightly clustered around these values. Updated runs from agencies such as the Israel Meteorological Service and ensemble guidance will provide the next resolution-relevant data points before market close.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月7日特拉維夫的最高溫度？
9月7日特拉維夫的最高溫度？
32°C 63%
33°C 38%
35°C <1%
39°C或更高 <1%
最新
最新
2026-09-07
29°C或以下
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
63%
33°C
38%
34°C
<1%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C或更高
<1%
32°C 63%
33°C 38%
35°C <1%
39°C或更高 <1%
最新
最新
2026-09-07
29°C或以下
$219 交易量
<1%
30°C
$241 交易量
<1%
31°C
$226 交易量
<1%
32°C
$659 交易量
63%
33°C
$704 交易量
38%
34°C
$30 交易量
<1%
35°C
$5 交易量
1%
36°C
$241 交易量
<1%
37°C
$177 交易量
<1%
38°C
$177 交易量
<1%
39°C或更高
$167 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from global and regional models points to a daily maximum near 31–32°C in Tel Aviv on September 7, reflecting typical early-September Mediterranean conditions with light westerly winds, minimal cloud cover, and stable high pressure. This positions the 32°C outcome as the leading market-implied probability, while the narrower spread to 33°C accounts for minor model variability in afternoon heating and urban heat-island effects. No significant synoptic shifts or heat-wave indicators have emerged in the past 48 hours, keeping probabilities tightly clustered around these values. Updated runs from agencies such as the Israel Meteorological Service and ensemble guidance will provide the next resolution-relevant data points before market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 5, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$2,847結束日期
2026-09-07市場開放時間
Sep 5, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from global and regional models points to a daily maximum near 31–32°C in Tel Aviv on September 7, reflecting typical early-September Mediterranean conditions with light westerly winds, minimal cloud cover, and stable high pressure. This positions the 32°C outcome as the leading market-implied probability, while the narrower spread to 33°C accounts for minor model variability in afternoon heating and urban heat-island effects. No significant synoptic shifts or heat-wave indicators have emerged in the past 48 hours, keeping probabilities tightly clustered around these values. Updated runs from agencies such as the Israel Meteorological Service and ensemble guidance will provide the next resolution-relevant data points before market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,847結束日期
2026-09-07市場開放時間
Sep 5, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent forecast consensus from global and regional models points to a daily maximum near 31–32°C in Tel Aviv on September 7, reflecting typical early-September Mediterranean conditions with light westerly winds, minimal cloud cover, and stable high pressure. This positions the 32°C outcome as the leading market-implied probability, while the narrower spread to 33°C accounts for minor model variability in afternoon heating and urban heat-island effects. No significant synoptic shifts or heat-wave indicators have emerged in the past 48 hours, keeping probabilities tightly clustered around these values. Updated runs from agencies such as the Israel Meteorological Service and ensemble guidance will provide the next resolution-relevant data points before market close.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions