Latest numerical weather prediction models indicate maximum temperatures in Tel Aviv on September 6 will likely peak near 30–31°C, supported by moderate westerly winds, typical Mediterranean sea breezes that limit daytime heating, and partly cloudy conditions reducing solar insolation. These factors create tight clustering around the 31°C and 32°C thresholds in market-implied odds, reflecting minor model spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind speed. Early September climatology shows average highs of 29–30°C with low variability absent heat advection from the interior, while official monitoring confirms stable synoptic patterns with no heatwave signals. Updated high-resolution runs and local observations in the final 24 hours will clarify whether subtle cloud or wind shifts push readings across the 31–32°C divide.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月6日特拉維夫的最高溫度？
9月6日特拉維夫的最高溫度？
31°C 55%
32°C 46%
33°C <1%
34°C <1%
最新
$13,874 交易量
最新
$13,874 交易量
2026-09-06
28°C或以下
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
55%
32°C
46%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C或更高
<1%
31°C 55%
32°C 46%
33°C <1%
34°C <1%
最新
$13,874 交易量
最新
$13,874 交易量
2026-09-06
28°C或以下
$245 交易量
<1%
29°C
$382 交易量
<1%
30°C
$1,258 交易量
<1%
31°C
$3,826 交易量
55%
32°C
$3,786 交易量
46%
33°C
$992 交易量
1%
34°C
$928 交易量
<1%
35°C
$698 交易量
<1%
36°C
$529 交易量
<1%
37°C
$1,095 交易量
<1%
38°C或更高
$135 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models indicate maximum temperatures in Tel Aviv on September 6 will likely peak near 30–31°C, supported by moderate westerly winds, typical Mediterranean sea breezes that limit daytime heating, and partly cloudy conditions reducing solar insolation. These factors create tight clustering around the 31°C and 32°C thresholds in market-implied odds, reflecting minor model spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind speed. Early September climatology shows average highs of 29–30°C with low variability absent heat advection from the interior, while official monitoring confirms stable synoptic patterns with no heatwave signals. Updated high-resolution runs and local observations in the final 24 hours will clarify whether subtle cloud or wind shifts push readings across the 31–32°C divide.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$13,874結束日期
2026-09-06市場開放時間
Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models indicate maximum temperatures in Tel Aviv on September 6 will likely peak near 30–31°C, supported by moderate westerly winds, typical Mediterranean sea breezes that limit daytime heating, and partly cloudy conditions reducing solar insolation. These factors create tight clustering around the 31°C and 32°C thresholds in market-implied odds, reflecting minor model spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind speed. Early September climatology shows average highs of 29–30°C with low variability absent heat advection from the interior, while official monitoring confirms stable synoptic patterns with no heatwave signals. Updated high-resolution runs and local observations in the final 24 hours will clarify whether subtle cloud or wind shifts push readings across the 31–32°C divide.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$13,874結束日期
2026-09-06市場開放時間
Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ETLatest numerical weather prediction models indicate maximum temperatures in Tel Aviv on September 6 will likely peak near 30–31°C, supported by moderate westerly winds, typical Mediterranean sea breezes that limit daytime heating, and partly cloudy conditions reducing solar insolation. These factors create tight clustering around the 31°C and 32°C thresholds in market-implied odds, reflecting minor model spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind speed. Early September climatology shows average highs of 29–30°C with low variability absent heat advection from the interior, while official monitoring confirms stable synoptic patterns with no heatwave signals. Updated high-resolution runs and local observations in the final 24 hours will clarify whether subtle cloud or wind shifts push readings across the 31–32°C divide.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions