Trader consensus around 25°C as the leading minimum for Tel Aviv on August 31 reflects genuine short-range forecast uncertainty in coastal Mediterranean conditions. Key differentiators include variable marine layer depth and sea-breeze timing, which control nocturnal radiative cooling rates, alongside minor model spreads in predicted wind speeds and cloud cover from sources such as ECMWF and GFS. With no significant synoptic systems approaching and typical late-summer sea-surface temperatures near 28–29°C, small shifts in humidity or boundary-layer mixing could easily move the low across the 21–26°C cluster. New model runs and local observations will refine these probabilities before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月31日特拉維夫的最低溫度？
8月31日特拉維夫的最低溫度？
21°C or below 63%
31°C or higher 53%
25°C 50%
23°C 26%
最新
最新
2026-08-31
21°C or below
63%
22°C
24%
23°C
26%
24°C
25%
25°C
40%
26°C
24%
27°C
24%
28°C
5%
29°C
6%
30°C
5%
31°C or higher
53%
21°C or below 63%
31°C or higher 53%
25°C 50%
23°C 26%
最新
最新
2026-08-31
21°C or below
$141 交易量
63%
22°C
$10 交易量
24%
23°C
$0 交易量
26%
24°C
$2 交易量
25%
25°C
$11 交易量
40%
26°C
$61 交易量
24%
27°C
$24 交易量
24%
28°C
$86 交易量
5%
29°C
$5 交易量
6%
30°C
$145 交易量
5%
31°C or higher
$145 交易量
53%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around 25°C as the leading minimum for Tel Aviv on August 31 reflects genuine short-range forecast uncertainty in coastal Mediterranean conditions. Key differentiators include variable marine layer depth and sea-breeze timing, which control nocturnal radiative cooling rates, alongside minor model spreads in predicted wind speeds and cloud cover from sources such as ECMWF and GFS. With no significant synoptic systems approaching and typical late-summer sea-surface temperatures near 28–29°C, small shifts in humidity or boundary-layer mixing could easily move the low across the 21–26°C cluster. New model runs and local observations will refine these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 29, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$630結束日期
2026-08-31市場開放時間
Aug 29, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around 25°C as the leading minimum for Tel Aviv on August 31 reflects genuine short-range forecast uncertainty in coastal Mediterranean conditions. Key differentiators include variable marine layer depth and sea-breeze timing, which control nocturnal radiative cooling rates, alongside minor model spreads in predicted wind speeds and cloud cover from sources such as ECMWF and GFS. With no significant synoptic systems approaching and typical late-summer sea-surface temperatures near 28–29°C, small shifts in humidity or boundary-layer mixing could easily move the low across the 21–26°C cluster. New model runs and local observations will refine these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$630結束日期
2026-08-31市場開放時間
Aug 29, 2026, 12:29 AM ETTrader consensus around 25°C as the leading minimum for Tel Aviv on August 31 reflects genuine short-range forecast uncertainty in coastal Mediterranean conditions. Key differentiators include variable marine layer depth and sea-breeze timing, which control nocturnal radiative cooling rates, alongside minor model spreads in predicted wind speeds and cloud cover from sources such as ECMWF and GFS. With no significant synoptic systems approaching and typical late-summer sea-surface temperatures near 28–29°C, small shifts in humidity or boundary-layer mixing could easily move the low across the 21–26°C cluster. New model runs and local observations will refine these probabilities before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions