Current Met Office and European model guidance indicate overnight lows near 17°C across Greater London under a mild southwesterly flow and extensive cloud cover that limits radiative cooling, supporting trader consensus around 16°C as the most probable minimum. This aligns with late-August climatology at London Heathrow, where mean lows run 14–15°C but warm advection often produces 16–17°C readings when Atlantic air dominates. Resolution hinges on official Met Office minimum observations through 06:00 UTC. Clearer skies or a sharper northerly shift could push values to 15°C or below, though current conditions and ensemble spread make that outcome unlikely.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月28日倫敦的最低溫度?
16°C 100.0%
11°C或以下 <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$11,724 交易量
$11,724 交易量
11°C或以下
否
12°C
否
13°C
否
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C
是
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C或以上
否
16°C 100.0%
11°C或以下 <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$11,724 交易量
$11,724 交易量
11°C或以下
否
12°C
否
13°C
否
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C
是
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C或以上
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Current Met Office and European model guidance indicate overnight lows near 17°C across Greater London under a mild southwesterly flow and extensive cloud cover that limits radiative cooling, supporting trader consensus around 16°C as the most probable minimum. This aligns with late-August climatology at London Heathrow, where mean lows run 14–15°C but warm advection often produces 16–17°C readings when Atlantic air dominates. Resolution hinges on official Met Office minimum observations through 06:00 UTC. Clearer skies or a sharper northerly shift could push values to 15°C or below, though current conditions and ensemble spread make that outcome unlikely.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions