**Traders have converged on 15°C as the lowest temperature in London on September 6, 2026, with near-certain market-implied odds reflecting official observational data.** Hourly readings from London-area stations, including London City Airport and Heathrow, show overnight and early-morning minima stabilizing at 15–16°C under clear to partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds, before daytime highs reached 25–27°C. This aligns with Met Office and equivalent agency records for the calendar day, leaving negligible scope for revision. Climatologically, September 6 averages a low near 12°C, but a warmer-than-normal pattern with elevated dew points and minimal radiative cooling produced the observed 15°C floor. The only realistic scenarios that could alter resolution involve post-hoc data corrections from primary stations or definitional disputes over “London” boundaries, both of which remain improbable given consistent multi-station confirmation.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月6日倫敦的最低溫度？
9月6日倫敦的最低溫度？
15°C 100.0%
10°C或以下 <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$9,738 交易量
$9,738 交易量
2026-09-06
10°C或以下
否
11°C
否
12°C
否
13°C
否
14°C
否
15°C
是
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C或以上
否
15°C 100.0%
10°C或以下 <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$9,738 交易量
$9,738 交易量
2026-09-06
10°C或以下
$55 交易量
否
11°C
$65 交易量
否
12°C
$240 交易量
否
13°C
$434 交易量
否
14°C
$3,358 交易量
否
15°C
$2,707 交易量
是
16°C
$2,522 交易量
否
17°C
$152 交易量
否
18°C
$65 交易量
否
19°C
$65 交易量
否
20°C或以上
$75 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Traders have converged on 15°C as the lowest temperature in London on September 6, 2026, with near-certain market-implied odds reflecting official observational data.**
Hourly readings from London-area stations, including London City Airport and Heathrow, show overnight and early-morning minima stabilizing at 15–16°C under clear to partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds, before daytime highs reached 25–27°C. This aligns with Met Office and equivalent agency records for the calendar day, leaving negligible scope for revision.
Climatologically, September 6 averages a low near 12°C, but a warmer-than-normal pattern with elevated dew points and minimal radiative cooling produced the observed 15°C floor. The only realistic scenarios that could alter resolution involve post-hoc data corrections from primary stations or definitional disputes over “London” boundaries, both of which remain improbable given consistent multi-station confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$9,738結束日期
2026-09-06市場開放時間
Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Traders have converged on 15°C as the lowest temperature in London on September 6, 2026, with near-certain market-implied odds reflecting official observational data.**
Hourly readings from London-area stations, including London City Airport and Heathrow, show overnight and early-morning minima stabilizing at 15–16°C under clear to partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds, before daytime highs reached 25–27°C. This aligns with Met Office and equivalent agency records for the calendar day, leaving negligible scope for revision.
Climatologically, September 6 averages a low near 12°C, but a warmer-than-normal pattern with elevated dew points and minimal radiative cooling produced the observed 15°C floor. The only realistic scenarios that could alter resolution involve post-hoc data corrections from primary stations or definitional disputes over “London” boundaries, both of which remain improbable given consistent multi-station confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$9,738結束日期
2026-09-06市場開放時間
Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
**Traders have converged on 15°C as the lowest temperature in London on September 6, 2026, with near-certain market-implied odds reflecting official observational data.** Hourly readings from London-area stations, including London City Airport and Heathrow, show overnight and early-morning minima stabilizing at 15–16°C under clear to partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds, before daytime highs reached 25–27°C. This aligns with Met Office and equivalent agency records for the calendar day, leaving negligible scope for revision. Climatologically, September 6 averages a low near 12°C, but a warmer-than-normal pattern with elevated dew points and minimal radiative cooling produced the observed 15°C floor. The only realistic scenarios that could alter resolution involve post-hoc data corrections from primary stations or definitional disputes over “London” boundaries, both of which remain improbable given consistent multi-station confirmation.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions