Recent forecasts from regional meteorological services indicate afternoon highs for Panama City likely clustering between 29–32 °C on August 27, driven by persistent trade-wind moisture, scattered convective showers, and typical rainy-season cloud cover that limits peak insolation. Trader consensus reflected in the tightly bunched 31–33 °C outcomes captures uncertainty around the precise timing and intensity of thunderstorms, which can suppress maximum temperatures by several degrees when they develop earlier in the day. Historical August averages near 30–31 °C provide baseline context, while current model runs show limited spread due to stable large-scale steering patterns and high humidity that reduces diurnal temperature range. Updated guidance from local agencies on storm coverage will be the key near-term variable traders are monitoring before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月27日巴拿馬城的最高溫度?
32°C 35%
33°C 29%
31°C 20%
30°C 15%
28°C或以下
2%
29°C
3%
30°C
15%
31°C
20%
32°C
28%
33°C
25%
34°C
11%
35°C
2%
36°C
2%
37°C
2%
38°C或以上
1%
32°C 35%
33°C 29%
31°C 20%
30°C 15%
28°C或以下
2%
29°C
3%
30°C
15%
31°C
20%
32°C
28%
33°C
25%
34°C
11%
35°C
2%
36°C
2%
37°C
2%
38°C或以上
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 25, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from regional meteorological services indicate afternoon highs for Panama City likely clustering between 29–32 °C on August 27, driven by persistent trade-wind moisture, scattered convective showers, and typical rainy-season cloud cover that limits peak insolation. Trader consensus reflected in the tightly bunched 31–33 °C outcomes captures uncertainty around the precise timing and intensity of thunderstorms, which can suppress maximum temperatures by several degrees when they develop earlier in the day. Historical August averages near 30–31 °C provide baseline context, while current model runs show limited spread due to stable large-scale steering patterns and high humidity that reduces diurnal temperature range. Updated guidance from local agencies on storm coverage will be the key near-term variable traders are monitoring before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions