Trader consensus around 24–25°C for Toronto’s highest temperature on August 25 stems primarily from the latest Environment Canada and GFS ensemble runs showing a stable high-pressure ridge with light southwesterly flow, limited cloud cover, and modest boundary-layer moisture limiting peak heating. Afternoon model guidance has trended slightly cooler over the past 24–48 hours, reducing upside risk above 26°C while keeping the distribution centered near seasonal norms of 25–27°C. Key variables still in play include exact timing of any weak frontal passage and diurnal mixing depth, with next model cycles and surface observations expected to refine probabilities ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月25日多倫多氣溫最高？
8月25日多倫多氣溫最高？
24°C 49%
25°C 30%
23°C 11%
26°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-25
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
4%
23°C
11%
24°C
49%
25°C
30%
26°C
6%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
24°C 49%
25°C 30%
23°C 11%
26°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-25
19°C or below
$141 交易量
<1%
20°C
$141 交易量
1%
21°C
$61 交易量
1%
22°C
$94 交易量
4%
23°C
$370 交易量
11%
24°C
$724 交易量
49%
25°C
$152 交易量
30%
26°C
$109 交易量
6%
27°C
$81 交易量
1%
28°C
$124 交易量
<1%
29°C or higher
$180 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around 24–25°C for Toronto’s highest temperature on August 25 stems primarily from the latest Environment Canada and GFS ensemble runs showing a stable high-pressure ridge with light southwesterly flow, limited cloud cover, and modest boundary-layer moisture limiting peak heating. Afternoon model guidance has trended slightly cooler over the past 24–48 hours, reducing upside risk above 26°C while keeping the distribution centered near seasonal norms of 25–27°C. Key variables still in play include exact timing of any weak frontal passage and diurnal mixing depth, with next model cycles and surface observations expected to refine probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 23, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
交易量
$2,179結束日期
2026-08-25市場開放時間
Aug 23, 2026, 8:56 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around 24–25°C for Toronto’s highest temperature on August 25 stems primarily from the latest Environment Canada and GFS ensemble runs showing a stable high-pressure ridge with light southwesterly flow, limited cloud cover, and modest boundary-layer moisture limiting peak heating. Afternoon model guidance has trended slightly cooler over the past 24–48 hours, reducing upside risk above 26°C while keeping the distribution centered near seasonal norms of 25–27°C. Key variables still in play include exact timing of any weak frontal passage and diurnal mixing depth, with next model cycles and surface observations expected to refine probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,179結束日期
2026-08-25市場開放時間
Aug 23, 2026, 8:56 PM ETTrader consensus around 24–25°C for Toronto’s highest temperature on August 25 stems primarily from the latest Environment Canada and GFS ensemble runs showing a stable high-pressure ridge with light southwesterly flow, limited cloud cover, and modest boundary-layer moisture limiting peak heating. Afternoon model guidance has trended slightly cooler over the past 24–48 hours, reducing upside risk above 26°C while keeping the distribution centered near seasonal norms of 25–27°C. Key variables still in play include exact timing of any weak frontal passage and diurnal mixing depth, with next model cycles and surface observations expected to refine probabilities ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions