Forecast models and Environment Canada guidance indicate a mix of sun and cloud with showers possible on August 27 before clearing overnight, supporting minimum temperatures near the 15–17°C range that aligns with clustered market-implied odds. Radiative cooling under partly clear skies after sunset, moderated by moderate southwest winds and dew points around 16–18°C, will determine the exact low at official stations like Toronto Pearson. Recent model runs show limited spread in steering patterns and moisture, keeping outcomes like 16–19°C tightly bunched while lower probabilities for 13°C or below reflect the unlikelihood of strong cold advection this late in the season. Updated forecasts ahead of resolution remain the key near-term driver.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月27日多倫多氣溫最低？
8月27日多倫多氣溫最低？
17°C 27%
18°C 27%
16°C 26%
19°C 26%
最新
最新
2026-08-27
13°C或以下
4%
14°C
11%
15°C
24%
16°C
26%
17°C
27%
18°C
27%
19°C
26%
20°C
18%
21°C
25%
22°C
8%
23°C或更高
6%
17°C 27%
18°C 27%
16°C 26%
19°C 26%
最新
最新
2026-08-27
13°C或以下
$88 交易量
4%
14°C
$62 交易量
11%
15°C
$5 交易量
24%
16°C
$0 交易量
26%
17°C
$0 交易量
27%
18°C
$0 交易量
27%
19°C
$0 交易量
26%
20°C
$20 交易量
18%
21°C
$4 交易量
25%
22°C
$37 交易量
8%
23°C或更高
$37 交易量
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models and Environment Canada guidance indicate a mix of sun and cloud with showers possible on August 27 before clearing overnight, supporting minimum temperatures near the 15–17°C range that aligns with clustered market-implied odds. Radiative cooling under partly clear skies after sunset, moderated by moderate southwest winds and dew points around 16–18°C, will determine the exact low at official stations like Toronto Pearson. Recent model runs show limited spread in steering patterns and moisture, keeping outcomes like 16–19°C tightly bunched while lower probabilities for 13°C or below reflect the unlikelihood of strong cold advection this late in the season. Updated forecasts ahead of resolution remain the key near-term driver.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 25, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
交易量
$254結束日期
2026-08-27市場開放時間
Aug 25, 2026, 9:29 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models and Environment Canada guidance indicate a mix of sun and cloud with showers possible on August 27 before clearing overnight, supporting minimum temperatures near the 15–17°C range that aligns with clustered market-implied odds. Radiative cooling under partly clear skies after sunset, moderated by moderate southwest winds and dew points around 16–18°C, will determine the exact low at official stations like Toronto Pearson. Recent model runs show limited spread in steering patterns and moisture, keeping outcomes like 16–19°C tightly bunched while lower probabilities for 13°C or below reflect the unlikelihood of strong cold advection this late in the season. Updated forecasts ahead of resolution remain the key near-term driver.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$254結束日期
2026-08-27市場開放時間
Aug 25, 2026, 9:29 PM ETForecast models and Environment Canada guidance indicate a mix of sun and cloud with showers possible on August 27 before clearing overnight, supporting minimum temperatures near the 15–17°C range that aligns with clustered market-implied odds. Radiative cooling under partly clear skies after sunset, moderated by moderate southwest winds and dew points around 16–18°C, will determine the exact low at official stations like Toronto Pearson. Recent model runs show limited spread in steering patterns and moisture, keeping outcomes like 16–19°C tightly bunched while lower probabilities for 13°C or below reflect the unlikelihood of strong cold advection this late in the season. Updated forecasts ahead of resolution remain the key near-term driver.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions