Recent observational data from Istanbul monitoring stations confirm a daily minimum of 18°C under partly cloudy skies with northerly winds and scattered showers, aligning with National Meteorological Service reports and model consensus. This positions trader consensus at near-certainty for the 18°C outcome, reflecting verified temperature readings rather than forecasts. Historical August norms around 20–23°C provide context for the slightly cooler conditions driven by increased cloud cover and moisture. Scenarios that could challenge resolution include station-specific measurement discrepancies, revisions in official post-day data, or localized microclimate variations exceeding typical urban gradients.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月28日伊斯坦布爾的最低溫度?
18°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
19°C <1%
$4,716 交易量
$4,716 交易量
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
Yes
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C or higher
No
18°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
19°C <1%
$4,716 交易量
$4,716 交易量
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
Yes
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 26, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Recent observational data from Istanbul monitoring stations confirm a daily minimum of 18°C under partly cloudy skies with northerly winds and scattered showers, aligning with National Meteorological Service reports and model consensus. This positions trader consensus at near-certainty for the 18°C outcome, reflecting verified temperature readings rather than forecasts. Historical August norms around 20–23°C provide context for the slightly cooler conditions driven by increased cloud cover and moisture. Scenarios that could challenge resolution include station-specific measurement discrepancies, revisions in official post-day data, or localized microclimate variations exceeding typical urban gradients.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions