**Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources project Istanbul's overnight low on September 4 near 20–22°C under clear to mostly clear skies, light northeast winds, and stable high pressure (around 1015–1017 hPa), which supports moderate radiative cooling but is moderated by the city's proximity to the Bosphorus and Marmara Sea.** This places the expected minimum in the range where market-implied probabilities cluster tightly between 17°C and 22°C. Model consensus shows minimal precipitation risk and gradual overnight decline from daytime highs of 27–29°C, with hourly trends bottoming near 21–23°C before sunrise. Historical September minima average around 17°C, yet the current synoptic pattern favors slightly warmer readings; any divergence in exact station data (e.g., airport versus urban sites) or minor forecast adjustments could shift resolution within the narrow band reflected in trader sentiment.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月4日伊斯坦布爾最低溫度？
9月4日伊斯坦布爾最低溫度？
16°C或以下 96%
18°C 90%
19°C 87%
21°C 51%
最新
最新
2026-09-04
16°C或以下
96%
17°C
45%
18°C
90%
19°C
87%
20°C
46%
21°C
51%
22°C
50%
23°C
51%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C或更高
<1%
16°C或以下 96%
18°C 90%
19°C 87%
21°C 51%
最新
最新
2026-09-04
16°C或以下
$62 交易量
96%
17°C
$62 交易量
45%
18°C
$62 交易量
90%
19°C
$88 交易量
87%
20°C
$60 交易量
46%
21°C
$0 交易量
51%
22°C
$0 交易量
50%
23°C
$0 交易量
51%
24°C
$45 交易量
<1%
25°C
$45 交易量
<1%
26°C或更高
$45 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources project Istanbul's overnight low on September 4 near 20–22°C under clear to mostly clear skies, light northeast winds, and stable high pressure (around 1015–1017 hPa), which supports moderate radiative cooling but is moderated by the city's proximity to the Bosphorus and Marmara Sea.**
This places the expected minimum in the range where market-implied probabilities cluster tightly between 17°C and 22°C. Model consensus shows minimal precipitation risk and gradual overnight decline from daytime highs of 27–29°C, with hourly trends bottoming near 21–23°C before sunrise. Historical September minima average around 17°C, yet the current synoptic pattern favors slightly warmer readings; any divergence in exact station data (e.g., airport versus urban sites) or minor forecast adjustments could shift resolution within the narrow band reflected in trader sentiment.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 2, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$469結束日期
2026-09-04市場開放時間
Sep 2, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources project Istanbul's overnight low on September 4 near 20–22°C under clear to mostly clear skies, light northeast winds, and stable high pressure (around 1015–1017 hPa), which supports moderate radiative cooling but is moderated by the city's proximity to the Bosphorus and Marmara Sea.**
This places the expected minimum in the range where market-implied probabilities cluster tightly between 17°C and 22°C. Model consensus shows minimal precipitation risk and gradual overnight decline from daytime highs of 27–29°C, with hourly trends bottoming near 21–23°C before sunrise. Historical September minima average around 17°C, yet the current synoptic pattern favors slightly warmer readings; any divergence in exact station data (e.g., airport versus urban sites) or minor forecast adjustments could shift resolution within the narrow band reflected in trader sentiment.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$469結束日期
2026-09-04市場開放時間
Sep 2, 2026, 12:31 AM ET**Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources project Istanbul's overnight low on September 4 near 20–22°C under clear to mostly clear skies, light northeast winds, and stable high pressure (around 1015–1017 hPa), which supports moderate radiative cooling but is moderated by the city's proximity to the Bosphorus and Marmara Sea.** This places the expected minimum in the range where market-implied probabilities cluster tightly between 17°C and 22°C. Model consensus shows minimal precipitation risk and gradual overnight decline from daytime highs of 27–29°C, with hourly trends bottoming near 21–23°C before sunrise. Historical September minima average around 17°C, yet the current synoptic pattern favors slightly warmer readings; any divergence in exact station data (e.g., airport versus urban sites) or minor forecast adjustments could shift resolution within the narrow band reflected in trader sentiment.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions