Official forecasts from multiple meteorological sources project a daytime maximum near 28°C in Istanbul on September 4 under clear to partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and a stable high-pressure regime with negligible precipitation risk. Afternoon peaks are expected between 27–29°C according to ensemble guidance and regional models, consistent with typical early-September climatology for the region. Market pricing favoring 26–27°C as leading outcomes reflects trader assessment of potential measurement specifics at the official station, minor model spread on exact timing of peak heating, and historical resolution patterns for similar daily temperature contracts. New observational data and final agency reports will determine the precise high.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月4日伊斯坦布爾的最高溫度？
9月4日伊斯坦布爾的最高溫度？
26°C 56%
27°C 28%
25°C 13%
28°C 4%
最新
最新
2026-09-04
22°C或以下
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
13%
26°C
56%
27°C
28%
28°C
4%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C或以上
<1%
26°C 56%
27°C 28%
25°C 13%
28°C 4%
最新
最新
2026-09-04
22°C或以下
$85 交易量
1%
23°C
$185 交易量
1%
24°C
$170 交易量
2%
25°C
$589 交易量
13%
26°C
$576 交易量
56%
27°C
$502 交易量
28%
28°C
$93 交易量
4%
29°C
$188 交易量
1%
30°C
$0 交易量
<1%
31°C
$5 交易量
<1%
32°C或以上
$11 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from multiple meteorological sources project a daytime maximum near 28°C in Istanbul on September 4 under clear to partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and a stable high-pressure regime with negligible precipitation risk. Afternoon peaks are expected between 27–29°C according to ensemble guidance and regional models, consistent with typical early-September climatology for the region. Market pricing favoring 26–27°C as leading outcomes reflects trader assessment of potential measurement specifics at the official station, minor model spread on exact timing of peak heating, and historical resolution patterns for similar daily temperature contracts. New observational data and final agency reports will determine the precise high.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 2, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$2,403結束日期
2026-09-04市場開放時間
Sep 2, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from multiple meteorological sources project a daytime maximum near 28°C in Istanbul on September 4 under clear to partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and a stable high-pressure regime with negligible precipitation risk. Afternoon peaks are expected between 27–29°C according to ensemble guidance and regional models, consistent with typical early-September climatology for the region. Market pricing favoring 26–27°C as leading outcomes reflects trader assessment of potential measurement specifics at the official station, minor model spread on exact timing of peak heating, and historical resolution patterns for similar daily temperature contracts. New observational data and final agency reports will determine the precise high.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,403結束日期
2026-09-04市場開放時間
Sep 2, 2026, 12:57 AM ETOfficial forecasts from multiple meteorological sources project a daytime maximum near 28°C in Istanbul on September 4 under clear to partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and a stable high-pressure regime with negligible precipitation risk. Afternoon peaks are expected between 27–29°C according to ensemble guidance and regional models, consistent with typical early-September climatology for the region. Market pricing favoring 26–27°C as leading outcomes reflects trader assessment of potential measurement specifics at the official station, minor model spread on exact timing of peak heating, and historical resolution patterns for similar daily temperature contracts. New observational data and final agency reports will determine the precise high.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions