Recent official and model forecasts for Istanbul on September 6 point to a high of 29–31°C under clear skies, light northerly winds, and stable high pressure near 1017–1020 hPa, consistent with late-summer Mediterranean patterns where daytime heating peaks in the afternoon. Multiple sources, including hourly guidance showing maxima near 29–30°C, align closely with the market’s leading outcomes at 28–30°C. Historical September averages near 23–25°C provide context for the current warmer setup driven by persistent sunny conditions and minimal cloud cover. Traders appear to be weighting this consensus heavily, though minor shifts remain possible from the final model runs or localized urban heat effects before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月6日伊斯坦布爾的最高溫度？
9月6日伊斯坦布爾的最高溫度？
29°C 38%
30°C 25%
28°C 23%
27°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-09-06
25°C或以下
2%
26°C
3%
27°C
7%
28°C
23%
29°C
38%
30°C
25%
31°C
6%
32°C
4%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C或以上
<1%
29°C 38%
30°C 25%
28°C 23%
27°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-09-06
25°C或以下
$55 交易量
2%
26°C
$188 交易量
3%
27°C
$59 交易量
7%
28°C
$572 交易量
23%
29°C
$268 交易量
38%
30°C
$501 交易量
25%
31°C
$426 交易量
6%
32°C
$44 交易量
4%
33°C
$151 交易量
1%
34°C
$83 交易量
1%
35°C或以上
$441 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official and model forecasts for Istanbul on September 6 point to a high of 29–31°C under clear skies, light northerly winds, and stable high pressure near 1017–1020 hPa, consistent with late-summer Mediterranean patterns where daytime heating peaks in the afternoon. Multiple sources, including hourly guidance showing maxima near 29–30°C, align closely with the market’s leading outcomes at 28–30°C. Historical September averages near 23–25°C provide context for the current warmer setup driven by persistent sunny conditions and minimal cloud cover. Traders appear to be weighting this consensus heavily, though minor shifts remain possible from the final model runs or localized urban heat effects before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 4, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$2,787結束日期
2026-09-06市場開放時間
Sep 4, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official and model forecasts for Istanbul on September 6 point to a high of 29–31°C under clear skies, light northerly winds, and stable high pressure near 1017–1020 hPa, consistent with late-summer Mediterranean patterns where daytime heating peaks in the afternoon. Multiple sources, including hourly guidance showing maxima near 29–30°C, align closely with the market’s leading outcomes at 28–30°C. Historical September averages near 23–25°C provide context for the current warmer setup driven by persistent sunny conditions and minimal cloud cover. Traders appear to be weighting this consensus heavily, though minor shifts remain possible from the final model runs or localized urban heat effects before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,787結束日期
2026-09-06市場開放時間
Sep 4, 2026, 12:58 AM ETRecent official and model forecasts for Istanbul on September 6 point to a high of 29–31°C under clear skies, light northerly winds, and stable high pressure near 1017–1020 hPa, consistent with late-summer Mediterranean patterns where daytime heating peaks in the afternoon. Multiple sources, including hourly guidance showing maxima near 29–30°C, align closely with the market’s leading outcomes at 28–30°C. Historical September averages near 23–25°C provide context for the current warmer setup driven by persistent sunny conditions and minimal cloud cover. Traders appear to be weighting this consensus heavily, though minor shifts remain possible from the final model runs or localized urban heat effects before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions