Current forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate Guangzhou's overnight minimum on August 23 will likely fall between 25–28 °C under typical late-summer monsoon conditions, with scattered thundershowers and high humidity (70–85 %) limiting nocturnal radiative cooling. Multiple ensemble models show modest spread in boundary-layer moisture and cloud cover, directly differentiating the clustered 27–29 °C outcomes from cooler or warmer tails. Urban heat-island effects and sea-breeze moderation add further small-scale variability, keeping implied probabilities tightly bunched as traders weigh the latest model runs ahead of the final observation window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月23日廣州最低溫度?
23°C 26%
27°C 19%
28°C 19%
25°C 19%
22°C或以下
1%
23°C
26%
24°C
18%
25°C
19%
26°C
19%
27°C
19%
28°C
19%
29°C
19%
30°C
19%
31°C
1%
32°C或以上
1%
23°C 26%
27°C 19%
28°C 19%
25°C 19%
22°C或以下
1%
23°C
26%
24°C
18%
25°C
19%
26°C
19%
27°C
19%
28°C
19%
29°C
19%
30°C
19%
31°C
1%
32°C或以上
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate Guangzhou's overnight minimum on August 23 will likely fall between 25–28 °C under typical late-summer monsoon conditions, with scattered thundershowers and high humidity (70–85 %) limiting nocturnal radiative cooling. Multiple ensemble models show modest spread in boundary-layer moisture and cloud cover, directly differentiating the clustered 27–29 °C outcomes from cooler or warmer tails. Urban heat-island effects and sea-breeze moderation add further small-scale variability, keeping implied probabilities tightly bunched as traders weigh the latest model runs ahead of the final observation window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions