**Forecast models show a stable high-pressure pattern over Istanbul on August 25, 2026, with clear skies, light to moderate northeasterly winds (poyraz), and radiative cooling overnight producing minimum temperatures clustered in the low-to-mid 20s °C.** Recent forecasts from sources including the Turkish State Meteorological Service, GFS/ECMWF runs, and international models converge on daytime highs near 29–32 °C and nighttime lows around 21–23 °C, consistent with the market’s leading outcomes (24 °C at 31.5 %, 23 °C at 28 %, 22 °C at 27.5 %, 21 °C at 26.5 %). Clear conditions allow efficient longwave radiation loss after sunset, while the persistent NE flow mixes the boundary layer and limits extreme cooling or urban heat-island amplification. Dew points in the mid-to-upper teens °C and low humidity further moderate the rate of temperature drop. Minor model spread arises from small differences in wind speed, exact timing of any thin high cloud, and measurement-site specifics (official airport stations versus urban locations), creating genuine uncertainty that keeps probabilities tightly bunched rather than favoring a single bin. Historical August climatology for Istanbul (typical lows near 20–22 °C) supports this range, with no major synoptic shift expected before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月25日伊斯坦布爾的最低溫度？
8月25日伊斯坦布爾的最低溫度？
19°C 43%
28°C or higher 41%
23°C 28%
24°C 28%
最新
最新
2026-08-25
18°C or below
2%
19°C
43%
20°C
2%
21°C
27%
22°C
28%
23°C
28%
24°C
28%
25°C
5%
26°C
8%
27°C
8%
28°C or higher
41%
19°C 43%
28°C or higher 41%
23°C 28%
24°C 28%
最新
最新
2026-08-25
18°C or below
$100 交易量
2%
19°C
$118 交易量
43%
20°C
$88 交易量
2%
21°C
$0 交易量
27%
22°C
$0 交易量
28%
23°C
$0 交易量
28%
24°C
$0 交易量
28%
25°C
$50 交易量
5%
26°C
$122 交易量
8%
27°C
$145 交易量
8%
28°C or higher
$30 交易量
41%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models show a stable high-pressure pattern over Istanbul on August 25, 2026, with clear skies, light to moderate northeasterly winds (poyraz), and radiative cooling overnight producing minimum temperatures clustered in the low-to-mid 20s °C.**
Recent forecasts from sources including the Turkish State Meteorological Service, GFS/ECMWF runs, and international models converge on daytime highs near 29–32 °C and nighttime lows around 21–23 °C, consistent with the market’s leading outcomes (24 °C at 31.5 %, 23 °C at 28 %, 22 °C at 27.5 %, 21 °C at 26.5 %).
Clear conditions allow efficient longwave radiation loss after sunset, while the persistent NE flow mixes the boundary layer and limits extreme cooling or urban heat-island amplification. Dew points in the mid-to-upper teens °C and low humidity further moderate the rate of temperature drop.
Minor model spread arises from small differences in wind speed, exact timing of any thin high cloud, and measurement-site specifics (official airport stations versus urban locations), creating genuine uncertainty that keeps probabilities tightly bunched rather than favoring a single bin. Historical August climatology for Istanbul (typical lows near 20–22 °C) supports this range, with no major synoptic shift expected before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 23, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$654結束日期
2026-08-25市場開放時間
Aug 23, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models show a stable high-pressure pattern over Istanbul on August 25, 2026, with clear skies, light to moderate northeasterly winds (poyraz), and radiative cooling overnight producing minimum temperatures clustered in the low-to-mid 20s °C.**
Recent forecasts from sources including the Turkish State Meteorological Service, GFS/ECMWF runs, and international models converge on daytime highs near 29–32 °C and nighttime lows around 21–23 °C, consistent with the market’s leading outcomes (24 °C at 31.5 %, 23 °C at 28 %, 22 °C at 27.5 %, 21 °C at 26.5 %).
Clear conditions allow efficient longwave radiation loss after sunset, while the persistent NE flow mixes the boundary layer and limits extreme cooling or urban heat-island amplification. Dew points in the mid-to-upper teens °C and low humidity further moderate the rate of temperature drop.
Minor model spread arises from small differences in wind speed, exact timing of any thin high cloud, and measurement-site specifics (official airport stations versus urban locations), creating genuine uncertainty that keeps probabilities tightly bunched rather than favoring a single bin. Historical August climatology for Istanbul (typical lows near 20–22 °C) supports this range, with no major synoptic shift expected before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$654結束日期
2026-08-25市場開放時間
Aug 23, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models show a stable high-pressure pattern over Istanbul on August 25, 2026, with clear skies, light to moderate northeasterly winds (poyraz), and radiative cooling overnight producing minimum temperatures clustered in the low-to-mid 20s °C.** Recent forecasts from sources including the Turkish State Meteorological Service, GFS/ECMWF runs, and international models converge on daytime highs near 29–32 °C and nighttime lows around 21–23 °C, consistent with the market’s leading outcomes (24 °C at 31.5 %, 23 °C at 28 %, 22 °C at 27.5 %, 21 °C at 26.5 %). Clear conditions allow efficient longwave radiation loss after sunset, while the persistent NE flow mixes the boundary layer and limits extreme cooling or urban heat-island amplification. Dew points in the mid-to-upper teens °C and low humidity further moderate the rate of temperature drop. Minor model spread arises from small differences in wind speed, exact timing of any thin high cloud, and measurement-site specifics (official airport stations versus urban locations), creating genuine uncertainty that keeps probabilities tightly bunched rather than favoring a single bin. Historical August climatology for Istanbul (typical lows near 20–22 °C) supports this range, with no major synoptic shift expected before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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