Current forecasts from agencies including the UK Met Office and BBC Weather indicate a minimum temperature near 20°C for Istanbul on August 26, driven by persistent northeasterly Etesian winds and clear to partly cloudy conditions that limit overnight heat retention. Typical late-August climatology supports overnight lows of 19–22°C, with model consensus showing little deviation absent a sudden shift in steering patterns or increased cloud cover. Trader emphasis on both 20°C and 25°C at equal implied probabilities reflects uncertainty in exact resolution timing and minor model spread in boundary-layer cooling rates, while lower-probability tails align with historical extremes. Updated short-range model runs expected in the next 24 hours will likely tighten the distribution ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月26日伊斯坦布爾的最低溫度？
8月26日伊斯坦布爾的最低溫度？
20°C 44%
25°C 43%
27°C or higher 32%
21°C 27%
最新
最新
2026-08-26
17°C or below
18%
18°C
26%
19°C
26%
20°C
44%
21°C
27%
22°C
27%
23°C
27%
24°C
26%
25°C
43%
26°C
1%
27°C or higher
32%
20°C 44%
25°C 43%
27°C or higher 32%
21°C 27%
最新
最新
2026-08-26
17°C or below
$0 交易量
18%
18°C
$0 交易量
26%
19°C
$0 交易量
26%
20°C
$0 交易量
44%
21°C
$0 交易量
27%
22°C
$0 交易量
27%
23°C
$0 交易量
27%
24°C
$0 交易量
26%
25°C
$100 交易量
43%
26°C
$0 交易量
1%
27°C or higher
$135 交易量
32%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from agencies including the UK Met Office and BBC Weather indicate a minimum temperature near 20°C for Istanbul on August 26, driven by persistent northeasterly Etesian winds and clear to partly cloudy conditions that limit overnight heat retention. Typical late-August climatology supports overnight lows of 19–22°C, with model consensus showing little deviation absent a sudden shift in steering patterns or increased cloud cover. Trader emphasis on both 20°C and 25°C at equal implied probabilities reflects uncertainty in exact resolution timing and minor model spread in boundary-layer cooling rates, while lower-probability tails align with historical extremes. Updated short-range model runs expected in the next 24 hours will likely tighten the distribution ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 24, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$235結束日期
2026-08-26市場開放時間
Aug 24, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from agencies including the UK Met Office and BBC Weather indicate a minimum temperature near 20°C for Istanbul on August 26, driven by persistent northeasterly Etesian winds and clear to partly cloudy conditions that limit overnight heat retention. Typical late-August climatology supports overnight lows of 19–22°C, with model consensus showing little deviation absent a sudden shift in steering patterns or increased cloud cover. Trader emphasis on both 20°C and 25°C at equal implied probabilities reflects uncertainty in exact resolution timing and minor model spread in boundary-layer cooling rates, while lower-probability tails align with historical extremes. Updated short-range model runs expected in the next 24 hours will likely tighten the distribution ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$235結束日期
2026-08-26市場開放時間
Aug 24, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from agencies including the UK Met Office and BBC Weather indicate a minimum temperature near 20°C for Istanbul on August 26, driven by persistent northeasterly Etesian winds and clear to partly cloudy conditions that limit overnight heat retention. Typical late-August climatology supports overnight lows of 19–22°C, with model consensus showing little deviation absent a sudden shift in steering patterns or increased cloud cover. Trader emphasis on both 20°C and 25°C at equal implied probabilities reflects uncertainty in exact resolution timing and minor model spread in boundary-layer cooling rates, while lower-probability tails align with historical extremes. Updated short-range model runs expected in the next 24 hours will likely tighten the distribution ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions