Official Korea Meteorological Administration guidance projecting a 25°C minimum for Incheon on August 21 under mostly cloudy skies with a 30-60% chance of rain forms the core driver of trader sentiment, aligning with the near-even 44.5% odds on 25°C and 37% on 24°C. Persistent high humidity, light winds, and limited overnight radiative cooling from cloud cover keep temperatures near the seasonal 22-24°C baseline, while scattered showers further moderate extremes. Ensemble model consensus shows low variability in steering patterns or frontal passages through the short-term window, with any clearer breaks potentially allowing a dip to 24°C or below. Traders weigh upcoming KMA updates and refined high-resolution runs ahead of the overnight period, recognizing the narrow scientific spread between these leading outcomes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月21日是首爾（仁川）的最低溫度？
8月21日是首爾（仁川）的最低溫度？
25°C 44%
24°C 38%
23°C 11%
26°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-21
19°C或以下
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
4%
23°C
11%
24°C
38%
25°C
44%
26°C
10%
27°C
5%
28°C
2%
29°C或以上
1%
25°C 44%
24°C 38%
23°C 11%
26°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-21
19°C或以下
$18 交易量
<1%
20°C
$0 交易量
1%
21°C
$0 交易量
2%
22°C
$0 交易量
4%
23°C
$24 交易量
11%
24°C
$28 交易量
38%
25°C
$0 交易量
44%
26°C
$0 交易量
10%
27°C
$15 交易量
5%
28°C
$5 交易量
2%
29°C或以上
$0 交易量
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Korea Meteorological Administration guidance projecting a 25°C minimum for Incheon on August 21 under mostly cloudy skies with a 30-60% chance of rain forms the core driver of trader sentiment, aligning with the near-even 44.5% odds on 25°C and 37% on 24°C. Persistent high humidity, light winds, and limited overnight radiative cooling from cloud cover keep temperatures near the seasonal 22-24°C baseline, while scattered showers further moderate extremes. Ensemble model consensus shows low variability in steering patterns or frontal passages through the short-term window, with any clearer breaks potentially allowing a dip to 24°C or below. Traders weigh upcoming KMA updates and refined high-resolution runs ahead of the overnight period, recognizing the narrow scientific spread between these leading outcomes.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 19, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
交易量
$91結束日期
2026-08-21市場開放時間
Aug 19, 2026, 12:28 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Korea Meteorological Administration guidance projecting a 25°C minimum for Incheon on August 21 under mostly cloudy skies with a 30-60% chance of rain forms the core driver of trader sentiment, aligning with the near-even 44.5% odds on 25°C and 37% on 24°C. Persistent high humidity, light winds, and limited overnight radiative cooling from cloud cover keep temperatures near the seasonal 22-24°C baseline, while scattered showers further moderate extremes. Ensemble model consensus shows low variability in steering patterns or frontal passages through the short-term window, with any clearer breaks potentially allowing a dip to 24°C or below. Traders weigh upcoming KMA updates and refined high-resolution runs ahead of the overnight period, recognizing the narrow scientific spread between these leading outcomes.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$91結束日期
2026-08-21市場開放時間
Aug 19, 2026, 12:28 AM ETOfficial Korea Meteorological Administration guidance projecting a 25°C minimum for Incheon on August 21 under mostly cloudy skies with a 30-60% chance of rain forms the core driver of trader sentiment, aligning with the near-even 44.5% odds on 25°C and 37% on 24°C. Persistent high humidity, light winds, and limited overnight radiative cooling from cloud cover keep temperatures near the seasonal 22-24°C baseline, while scattered showers further moderate extremes. Ensemble model consensus shows low variability in steering patterns or frontal passages through the short-term window, with any clearer breaks potentially allowing a dip to 24°C or below. Traders weigh upcoming KMA updates and refined high-resolution runs ahead of the overnight period, recognizing the narrow scientific spread between these leading outcomes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions