Recent observational data and forecast models from meteorological agencies have locked in a 22°C overnight low for Beijing on August 27, 2026, as persistent cloud cover, light rain, and high humidity suppressed radiative cooling and kept temperatures stable near that threshold through the night. This aligns with broader August patterns where typical minima hover around 20–21°C but recent precipitation and weaker high-pressure influence prevented further drops. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects real-time station readings and model agreement, leaving little room for deviation. A shift could occur only if official resolution criteria favor a secondary station recording a different value or if post-event data revisions adjust the reported minimum.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月27日北京最低溫度？
8月27日北京最低溫度？
22°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$14,897 交易量
$14,897 交易量
2026-08-27
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C or higher
No
22°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$14,897 交易量
$14,897 交易量
2026-08-27
17°C or below
$405 交易量
No
18°C
$304 交易量
No
19°C
$218 交易量
No
20°C
$276 交易量
No
21°C
$226 交易量
No
22°C
$2,117 交易量
Yes
23°C
$9,705 交易量
No
24°C
$1,455 交易量
No
25°C
$75 交易量
No
26°C
$45 交易量
No
27°C or higher
$72 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent observational data and forecast models from meteorological agencies have locked in a 22°C overnight low for Beijing on August 27, 2026, as persistent cloud cover, light rain, and high humidity suppressed radiative cooling and kept temperatures stable near that threshold through the night. This aligns with broader August patterns where typical minima hover around 20–21°C but recent precipitation and weaker high-pressure influence prevented further drops. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects real-time station readings and model agreement, leaving little room for deviation. A shift could occur only if official resolution criteria favor a secondary station recording a different value or if post-event data revisions adjust the reported minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$14,897結束日期
2026-08-27市場開放時間
Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent observational data and forecast models from meteorological agencies have locked in a 22°C overnight low for Beijing on August 27, 2026, as persistent cloud cover, light rain, and high humidity suppressed radiative cooling and kept temperatures stable near that threshold through the night. This aligns with broader August patterns where typical minima hover around 20–21°C but recent precipitation and weaker high-pressure influence prevented further drops. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects real-time station readings and model agreement, leaving little room for deviation. A shift could occur only if official resolution criteria favor a secondary station recording a different value or if post-event data revisions adjust the reported minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$14,897結束日期
2026-08-27市場開放時間
Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Recent observational data and forecast models from meteorological agencies have locked in a 22°C overnight low for Beijing on August 27, 2026, as persistent cloud cover, light rain, and high humidity suppressed radiative cooling and kept temperatures stable near that threshold through the night. This aligns with broader August patterns where typical minima hover around 20–21°C but recent precipitation and weaker high-pressure influence prevented further drops. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects real-time station readings and model agreement, leaving little room for deviation. A shift could occur only if official resolution criteria favor a secondary station recording a different value or if post-event data revisions adjust the reported minimum.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions