Recent forecast guidance from global models shows Beijing's daily minimum on August 30 likely near 18–19 °C under clearing skies after several days of rain and a modest cool-air advection from the northwest. Radiative cooling overnight will be moderated by light winds and residual boundary-layer moisture, while daytime heating to 32 °C limits the diurnal range. Historical late-August normals place the average low near 19.6 °C, with record lows only reaching the low teens under stronger high-pressure setups. The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 17–18 °C reflects modest ensemble spread in minimum-temperature guidance and uncertainty in exact dew-point depression, with traders weighing the latest model runs against the possibility of slightly stronger northerly flow.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月30日北京最低溫度？
8月30日北京最低溫度？
15°C 49%
19°C 49%
14°C 47%
23°C or higher 43%
最新
最新
2026-08-30
13°C or below
28%
14°C
47%
15°C
49%
16°C
27%
17°C
30%
18°C
29%
19°C
49%
20°C
26%
21°C
7%
22°C
2%
23°C or higher
43%
15°C 49%
19°C 49%
14°C 47%
23°C or higher 43%
最新
最新
2026-08-30
13°C or below
$5 交易量
28%
14°C
$0 交易量
47%
15°C
$0 交易量
49%
16°C
$0 交易量
27%
17°C
$0 交易量
30%
18°C
$0 交易量
29%
19°C
$0 交易量
49%
20°C
$0 交易量
26%
21°C
$153 交易量
7%
22°C
$5 交易量
2%
23°C or higher
$5 交易量
43%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from global models shows Beijing's daily minimum on August 30 likely near 18–19 °C under clearing skies after several days of rain and a modest cool-air advection from the northwest. Radiative cooling overnight will be moderated by light winds and residual boundary-layer moisture, while daytime heating to 32 °C limits the diurnal range. Historical late-August normals place the average low near 19.6 °C, with record lows only reaching the low teens under stronger high-pressure setups. The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 17–18 °C reflects modest ensemble spread in minimum-temperature guidance and uncertainty in exact dew-point depression, with traders weighing the latest model runs against the possibility of slightly stronger northerly flow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$168結束日期
2026-08-30市場開放時間
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from global models shows Beijing's daily minimum on August 30 likely near 18–19 °C under clearing skies after several days of rain and a modest cool-air advection from the northwest. Radiative cooling overnight will be moderated by light winds and residual boundary-layer moisture, while daytime heating to 32 °C limits the diurnal range. Historical late-August normals place the average low near 19.6 °C, with record lows only reaching the low teens under stronger high-pressure setups. The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 17–18 °C reflects modest ensemble spread in minimum-temperature guidance and uncertainty in exact dew-point depression, with traders weighing the latest model runs against the possibility of slightly stronger northerly flow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$168結束日期
2026-08-30市場開放時間
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent forecast guidance from global models shows Beijing's daily minimum on August 30 likely near 18–19 °C under clearing skies after several days of rain and a modest cool-air advection from the northwest. Radiative cooling overnight will be moderated by light winds and residual boundary-layer moisture, while daytime heating to 32 °C limits the diurnal range. Historical late-August normals place the average low near 19.6 °C, with record lows only reaching the low teens under stronger high-pressure setups. The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 17–18 °C reflects modest ensemble spread in minimum-temperature guidance and uncertainty in exact dew-point depression, with traders weighing the latest model runs against the possibility of slightly stronger northerly flow.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions