**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Beijing on August 29, 2026, centers on 18–19 °C as the leading outcomes (combined ~93.5 % implied probability), reflecting consensus from official forecasts and real-time observations.** Clear skies overnight have enabled strong radiative cooling, with light northwest winds limiting mixing and allowing surface temperatures to drop efficiently. Recent data show the prior night (August 28) reached a minimum of 18.1 °C amid partly cloudy conditions and light precipitation that moderated cooling; the shift to fully clear skies on the 29th supports a comparable or marginally warmer low. Multiple models, including those aligned with Beijing Capital International Airport observations, converge on an overnight minimum near 18–19 °C (roughly 64–66 °F), consistent with late-August climatology for the region once monsoon influences wane. Higher probabilities for 19 °C versus 18 °C arise from slight model spread and urban heat-island buffering, while outcomes below 17 °C or above 20 °C remain heavily discounted given the absence of anomalous cold advection or persistent cloud cover. With the day’s resolution imminent, any final hourly readings from official stations will determine the exact outcome within this narrow band.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月29日北京最低溫度？
8月29日北京最低溫度？
19°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$1,748 交易量
$1,748 交易量
2026-08-29
14°C or below
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
Yes
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C or higher
No
19°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$1,748 交易量
$1,748 交易量
2026-08-29
14°C or below
$59 交易量
No
15°C
$114 交易量
No
16°C
$138 交易量
No
17°C
$912 交易量
No
18°C
$95 交易量
No
19°C
$157 交易量
Yes
20°C
$67 交易量
No
21°C
$110 交易量
No
22°C
$25 交易量
No
23°C
$35 交易量
No
24°C or higher
$35 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Beijing on August 29, 2026, centers on 18–19 °C as the leading outcomes (combined ~93.5 % implied probability), reflecting consensus from official forecasts and real-time observations.**
Clear skies overnight have enabled strong radiative cooling, with light northwest winds limiting mixing and allowing surface temperatures to drop efficiently. Recent data show the prior night (August 28) reached a minimum of 18.1 °C amid partly cloudy conditions and light precipitation that moderated cooling; the shift to fully clear skies on the 29th supports a comparable or marginally warmer low. Multiple models, including those aligned with Beijing Capital International Airport observations, converge on an overnight minimum near 18–19 °C (roughly 64–66 °F), consistent with late-August climatology for the region once monsoon influences wane.
Higher probabilities for 19 °C versus 18 °C arise from slight model spread and urban heat-island buffering, while outcomes below 17 °C or above 20 °C remain heavily discounted given the absence of anomalous cold advection or persistent cloud cover. With the day’s resolution imminent, any final hourly readings from official stations will determine the exact outcome within this narrow band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$1,748結束日期
2026-08-29市場開放時間
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Beijing on August 29, 2026, centers on 18–19 °C as the leading outcomes (combined ~93.5 % implied probability), reflecting consensus from official forecasts and real-time observations.**
Clear skies overnight have enabled strong radiative cooling, with light northwest winds limiting mixing and allowing surface temperatures to drop efficiently. Recent data show the prior night (August 28) reached a minimum of 18.1 °C amid partly cloudy conditions and light precipitation that moderated cooling; the shift to fully clear skies on the 29th supports a comparable or marginally warmer low. Multiple models, including those aligned with Beijing Capital International Airport observations, converge on an overnight minimum near 18–19 °C (roughly 64–66 °F), consistent with late-August climatology for the region once monsoon influences wane.
Higher probabilities for 19 °C versus 18 °C arise from slight model spread and urban heat-island buffering, while outcomes below 17 °C or above 20 °C remain heavily discounted given the absence of anomalous cold advection or persistent cloud cover. With the day’s resolution imminent, any final hourly readings from official stations will determine the exact outcome within this narrow band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,748結束日期
2026-08-29市場開放時間
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Beijing on August 29, 2026, centers on 18–19 °C as the leading outcomes (combined ~93.5 % implied probability), reflecting consensus from official forecasts and real-time observations.** Clear skies overnight have enabled strong radiative cooling, with light northwest winds limiting mixing and allowing surface temperatures to drop efficiently. Recent data show the prior night (August 28) reached a minimum of 18.1 °C amid partly cloudy conditions and light precipitation that moderated cooling; the shift to fully clear skies on the 29th supports a comparable or marginally warmer low. Multiple models, including those aligned with Beijing Capital International Airport observations, converge on an overnight minimum near 18–19 °C (roughly 64–66 °F), consistent with late-August climatology for the region once monsoon influences wane. Higher probabilities for 19 °C versus 18 °C arise from slight model spread and urban heat-island buffering, while outcomes below 17 °C or above 20 °C remain heavily discounted given the absence of anomalous cold advection or persistent cloud cover. With the day’s resolution imminent, any final hourly readings from official stations will determine the exact outcome within this narrow band.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions