**Trader consensus at 100% for a 19°C low reflects consistent official forecasts from multiple meteorological sources showing Beijing's overnight minimum stabilizing near that level on August 28.** Recent light rain and persistent cloud cover have limited radiative cooling, with surface observations and model runs from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicating temperatures bottoming around 18–19°C amid light winds and high humidity. This aligns with the day's expected range of roughly 19–23°C. Historical August lows average near 20°C, but cooler advection and moisture have suppressed the typical diurnal drop. A sudden clearing with stronger radiative cooling overnight could push readings slightly lower, though ensemble guidance shows low probability of deviation below 18°C before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月28日北京最低溫度？
8月28日北京最低溫度？
19°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$4,254 交易量
$4,254 交易量
2026-08-28
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
Yes
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
19°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$4,254 交易量
$4,254 交易量
2026-08-28
15°C or below
$57 交易量
No
16°C
$180 交易量
No
17°C
$48 交易量
No
18°C
$2,050 交易量
No
19°C
$227 交易量
Yes
20°C
$185 交易量
No
21°C
$226 交易量
No
22°C
$366 交易量
No
23°C
$134 交易量
No
24°C
$618 交易量
No
25°C or higher
$164 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus at 100% for a 19°C low reflects consistent official forecasts from multiple meteorological sources showing Beijing's overnight minimum stabilizing near that level on August 28.** Recent light rain and persistent cloud cover have limited radiative cooling, with surface observations and model runs from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicating temperatures bottoming around 18–19°C amid light winds and high humidity. This aligns with the day's expected range of roughly 19–23°C. Historical August lows average near 20°C, but cooler advection and moisture have suppressed the typical diurnal drop. A sudden clearing with stronger radiative cooling overnight could push readings slightly lower, though ensemble guidance shows low probability of deviation below 18°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$4,254結束日期
2026-08-28市場開放時間
Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus at 100% for a 19°C low reflects consistent official forecasts from multiple meteorological sources showing Beijing's overnight minimum stabilizing near that level on August 28.** Recent light rain and persistent cloud cover have limited radiative cooling, with surface observations and model runs from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicating temperatures bottoming around 18–19°C amid light winds and high humidity. This aligns with the day's expected range of roughly 19–23°C. Historical August lows average near 20°C, but cooler advection and moisture have suppressed the typical diurnal drop. A sudden clearing with stronger radiative cooling overnight could push readings slightly lower, though ensemble guidance shows low probability of deviation below 18°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$4,254結束日期
2026-08-28市場開放時間
Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
**Trader consensus at 100% for a 19°C low reflects consistent official forecasts from multiple meteorological sources showing Beijing's overnight minimum stabilizing near that level on August 28.** Recent light rain and persistent cloud cover have limited radiative cooling, with surface observations and model runs from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicating temperatures bottoming around 18–19°C amid light winds and high humidity. This aligns with the day's expected range of roughly 19–23°C. Historical August lows average near 20°C, but cooler advection and moisture have suppressed the typical diurnal drop. A sudden clearing with stronger radiative cooling overnight could push readings slightly lower, though ensemble guidance shows low probability of deviation below 18°C before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions