**Persistent monsoon-driven cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered thunderstorms have kept overnight radiative cooling minimal across Shenzhen, anchoring the daily minimum near 26°C.** Multiple forecast models and local observations through August 27 show temperatures stabilizing in the mid-to-upper 20s Celsius after sunset, consistent with typical late-summer patterns under weak steering flow and elevated dew points near 26°C. The market’s 100% implied probability on exactly 26°C reflects this tight consensus from official guidance and real-time data, where small variations in timing or intensity of rain would need to align precisely to shift the recorded low. Clearer breaks or stronger northerly flow could theoretically allow a dip to 25°C, though current conditions make such a deviation unlikely before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月27日深圳最低溫度？
8月27日深圳最低溫度？
26°C 100.0%
25°C 1.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
$6,893 交易量
$6,893 交易量
2026-08-27
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
25°C 1.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
$6,893 交易量
$6,893 交易量
2026-08-27
22°C or below
$306 交易量
No
23°C
$310 交易量
No
24°C
$225 交易量
No
25°C
$166 交易量
No
26°C
$642 交易量
Yes
27°C
$226 交易量
No
28°C
$4,349 交易量
No
29°C
$170 交易量
No
30°C
$335 交易量
No
31°C
$88 交易量
No
32°C or higher
$75 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent monsoon-driven cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered thunderstorms have kept overnight radiative cooling minimal across Shenzhen, anchoring the daily minimum near 26°C.** Multiple forecast models and local observations through August 27 show temperatures stabilizing in the mid-to-upper 20s Celsius after sunset, consistent with typical late-summer patterns under weak steering flow and elevated dew points near 26°C. The market’s 100% implied probability on exactly 26°C reflects this tight consensus from official guidance and real-time data, where small variations in timing or intensity of rain would need to align precisely to shift the recorded low. Clearer breaks or stronger northerly flow could theoretically allow a dip to 25°C, though current conditions make such a deviation unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$6,893結束日期
2026-08-27市場開放時間
Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent monsoon-driven cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered thunderstorms have kept overnight radiative cooling minimal across Shenzhen, anchoring the daily minimum near 26°C.** Multiple forecast models and local observations through August 27 show temperatures stabilizing in the mid-to-upper 20s Celsius after sunset, consistent with typical late-summer patterns under weak steering flow and elevated dew points near 26°C. The market’s 100% implied probability on exactly 26°C reflects this tight consensus from official guidance and real-time data, where small variations in timing or intensity of rain would need to align precisely to shift the recorded low. Clearer breaks or stronger northerly flow could theoretically allow a dip to 25°C, though current conditions make such a deviation unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$6,893結束日期
2026-08-27市場開放時間
Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
**Persistent monsoon-driven cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered thunderstorms have kept overnight radiative cooling minimal across Shenzhen, anchoring the daily minimum near 26°C.** Multiple forecast models and local observations through August 27 show temperatures stabilizing in the mid-to-upper 20s Celsius after sunset, consistent with typical late-summer patterns under weak steering flow and elevated dew points near 26°C. The market’s 100% implied probability on exactly 26°C reflects this tight consensus from official guidance and real-time data, where small variations in timing or intensity of rain would need to align precisely to shift the recorded low. Clearer breaks or stronger northerly flow could theoretically allow a dip to 25°C, though current conditions make such a deviation unlikely before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions