**Trader consensus strongly favors a 26°C low in Kuala Lumpur on August 27 due to persistent warm, humid conditions typical of the region's equatorial climate.** Official observations and forecast models from agencies like the Malaysian Meteorological Department show overnight temperatures stabilizing near this threshold amid high dew points, extensive cloud cover, and urban heat retention that limits radiative cooling. Historical August data indicate average daily lows of 24–25°C, but recent patterns with elevated humidity (often 80–90%) and light winds have pushed minima upward, aligning with the market's 96.5% implied probability for 26°C. A realistic challenge would require clearer skies or an atypical influx of drier air enhancing nighttime cooling below this level, though current model consensus shows low likelihood of such shifts before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月27日吉隆坡最低溫度?
26°C 100.0%
24°C 1.0%
20°C或以下 <1%
21°C <1%
$3,548 交易量
$3,548 交易量
20°C或以下
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
是
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C或以上
否
26°C 100.0%
24°C 1.0%
20°C或以下 <1%
21°C <1%
$3,548 交易量
$3,548 交易量
20°C或以下
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
是
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C或以上
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 25, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
**Trader consensus strongly favors a 26°C low in Kuala Lumpur on August 27 due to persistent warm, humid conditions typical of the region's equatorial climate.** Official observations and forecast models from agencies like the Malaysian Meteorological Department show overnight temperatures stabilizing near this threshold amid high dew points, extensive cloud cover, and urban heat retention that limits radiative cooling. Historical August data indicate average daily lows of 24–25°C, but recent patterns with elevated humidity (often 80–90%) and light winds have pushed minima upward, aligning with the market's 96.5% implied probability for 26°C. A realistic challenge would require clearer skies or an atypical influx of drier air enhancing nighttime cooling below this level, though current model consensus shows low likelihood of such shifts before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions