Official forecasts from the Qingdao Meteorological Observatory and multiple numerical models indicate a minimum temperature of 26°C for August 27, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure maintaining elevated overnight readings under partly to mostly cloudy skies, light easterly flow, and high humidity near 90%. This aligns with climatological norms for late August in the region, where typical lows hover near 22–24°C but recent patterns have kept values several degrees warmer. The market-implied 95.5% probability on exactly 26°C reflects strong consensus across updated model runs showing limited overnight cooling. Realistic challenges include stronger northerly winds or clearer skies enhancing radiative cooling to push readings to 25°C or below, though current steering patterns and moisture make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月27日青島最低氣溫？
8月27日青島最低氣溫？
26°C 99.5%
22°C或以下 5%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$1,725 交易量
$1,725 交易量
2026-08-27
22°C或以下
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
是
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C或以上
否
26°C 99.5%
22°C或以下 5%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$1,725 交易量
$1,725 交易量
2026-08-27
22°C或以下
$213 交易量
否
23°C
$56 交易量
否
24°C
$45 交易量
否
25°C
$86 交易量
否
26°C
$518 交易量
是
27°C
$90 交易量
否
28°C
$79 交易量
否
29°C
$358 交易量
否
30°C
$205 交易量
否
31°C
$40 交易量
否
32°C或以上
$35 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Qingdao Meteorological Observatory and multiple numerical models indicate a minimum temperature of 26°C for August 27, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure maintaining elevated overnight readings under partly to mostly cloudy skies, light easterly flow, and high humidity near 90%. This aligns with climatological norms for late August in the region, where typical lows hover near 22–24°C but recent patterns have kept values several degrees warmer. The market-implied 95.5% probability on exactly 26°C reflects strong consensus across updated model runs showing limited overnight cooling. Realistic challenges include stronger northerly winds or clearer skies enhancing radiative cooling to push readings to 25°C or below, though current steering patterns and moisture make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 25, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
交易量
$1,725結束日期
2026-08-27市場開放時間
Aug 25, 2026, 12:32 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Qingdao Meteorological Observatory and multiple numerical models indicate a minimum temperature of 26°C for August 27, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure maintaining elevated overnight readings under partly to mostly cloudy skies, light easterly flow, and high humidity near 90%. This aligns with climatological norms for late August in the region, where typical lows hover near 22–24°C but recent patterns have kept values several degrees warmer. The market-implied 95.5% probability on exactly 26°C reflects strong consensus across updated model runs showing limited overnight cooling. Realistic challenges include stronger northerly winds or clearer skies enhancing radiative cooling to push readings to 25°C or below, though current steering patterns and moisture make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,725結束日期
2026-08-27市場開放時間
Aug 25, 2026, 12:32 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Official forecasts from the Qingdao Meteorological Observatory and multiple numerical models indicate a minimum temperature of 26°C for August 27, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure maintaining elevated overnight readings under partly to mostly cloudy skies, light easterly flow, and high humidity near 90%. This aligns with climatological norms for late August in the region, where typical lows hover near 22–24°C but recent patterns have kept values several degrees warmer. The market-implied 95.5% probability on exactly 26°C reflects strong consensus across updated model runs showing limited overnight cooling. Realistic challenges include stronger northerly winds or clearer skies enhancing radiative cooling to push readings to 25°C or below, though current steering patterns and moisture make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions