Recent forecast models and early observations for Cape Town on August 27 point to a minimum temperature of 11°C overnight into early morning as the dominant driver of the 98.5% market-implied odds. Radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, combined with light northwest winds and dew points near 11-12°C, aligns with typical late-winter conditions in the region where overnight lows frequently settle in this narrow range. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around this value, with historical climatology for late August reinforcing the 10-13°C envelope. A stronger-than-expected onshore flow or increased cloud cover persisting through the night could push the actual low above 12°C, while an earlier cold air intrusion might dip it to 10°C or below.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月27日開普敦最低溫度？
8月27日開普敦最低溫度？
11°C 100.0%
8°C或以下 <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$3,368 交易量
$3,368 交易量
2026-08-27
8°C或以下
否
9°C
否
10°C
否
11°C
是
12°C
否
13°C
否
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C或以上
否
11°C 100.0%
8°C或以下 <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$3,368 交易量
$3,368 交易量
2026-08-27
8°C或以下
$418 交易量
否
9°C
$95 交易量
否
10°C
$345 交易量
否
11°C
$684 交易量
是
12°C
$217 交易量
否
13°C
$233 交易量
否
14°C
$735 交易量
否
15°C
$211 交易量
否
16°C
$322 交易量
否
17°C
$50 交易量
否
18°C或以上
$58 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models and early observations for Cape Town on August 27 point to a minimum temperature of 11°C overnight into early morning as the dominant driver of the 98.5% market-implied odds. Radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, combined with light northwest winds and dew points near 11-12°C, aligns with typical late-winter conditions in the region where overnight lows frequently settle in this narrow range. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around this value, with historical climatology for late August reinforcing the 10-13°C envelope. A stronger-than-expected onshore flow or increased cloud cover persisting through the night could push the actual low above 12°C, while an earlier cold air intrusion might dip it to 10°C or below.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 25, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$3,368結束日期
2026-08-27市場開放時間
Aug 25, 2026, 12:31 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models and early observations for Cape Town on August 27 point to a minimum temperature of 11°C overnight into early morning as the dominant driver of the 98.5% market-implied odds. Radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, combined with light northwest winds and dew points near 11-12°C, aligns with typical late-winter conditions in the region where overnight lows frequently settle in this narrow range. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around this value, with historical climatology for late August reinforcing the 10-13°C envelope. A stronger-than-expected onshore flow or increased cloud cover persisting through the night could push the actual low above 12°C, while an earlier cold air intrusion might dip it to 10°C or below.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,368結束日期
2026-08-27市場開放時間
Aug 25, 2026, 12:31 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Recent forecast models and early observations for Cape Town on August 27 point to a minimum temperature of 11°C overnight into early morning as the dominant driver of the 98.5% market-implied odds. Radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, combined with light northwest winds and dew points near 11-12°C, aligns with typical late-winter conditions in the region where overnight lows frequently settle in this narrow range. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around this value, with historical climatology for late August reinforcing the 10-13°C envelope. A stronger-than-expected onshore flow or increased cloud cover persisting through the night could push the actual low above 12°C, while an earlier cold air intrusion might dip it to 10°C or below.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions