Recent official forecasts from MetService and international models show Wellington's minimum temperature on August 28 likely falling to 9–11°C overnight amid clearing conditions, strong northwesterly winds, and moderate humidity after daytime highs near 14°C. This aligns with historical late-August averages of 8–12°C but positions cooler outcomes like 10°C or 11°C as scientifically plausible based on current observations near 13°C and ensemble guidance. Trader consensus favoring 13°C at over 50% implied probability reflects the day's observed floor so far, limited further cooling potential from wind mixing, and uncertainty in exact overnight radiative cooling before resolution. Updated model runs and official minimum readings will determine final settlement.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月28日惠靈頓的最低溫度？
8月28日惠靈頓的最低溫度？
13°C 100.0%
7°C或以下 <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$17,697 交易量
$17,697 交易量
2026-08-28
7°C或以下
否
8°C
否
9°C
否
10°C
否
11°C
否
12°C
否
13°C
是
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C或以上
否
13°C 100.0%
7°C或以下 <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$17,697 交易量
$17,697 交易量
2026-08-28
7°C或以下
$587 交易量
否
8°C
$156 交易量
否
9°C
$1,087 交易量
否
10°C
$171 交易量
否
11°C
$242 交易量
否
12°C
$373 交易量
否
13°C
$4,456 交易量
是
14°C
$9,869 交易量
否
15°C
$298 交易量
否
16°C
$210 交易量
否
17°C或以上
$249 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from MetService and international models show Wellington's minimum temperature on August 28 likely falling to 9–11°C overnight amid clearing conditions, strong northwesterly winds, and moderate humidity after daytime highs near 14°C. This aligns with historical late-August averages of 8–12°C but positions cooler outcomes like 10°C or 11°C as scientifically plausible based on current observations near 13°C and ensemble guidance. Trader consensus favoring 13°C at over 50% implied probability reflects the day's observed floor so far, limited further cooling potential from wind mixing, and uncertainty in exact overnight radiative cooling before resolution. Updated model runs and official minimum readings will determine final settlement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$17,697結束日期
2026-08-28市場開放時間
Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from MetService and international models show Wellington's minimum temperature on August 28 likely falling to 9–11°C overnight amid clearing conditions, strong northwesterly winds, and moderate humidity after daytime highs near 14°C. This aligns with historical late-August averages of 8–12°C but positions cooler outcomes like 10°C or 11°C as scientifically plausible based on current observations near 13°C and ensemble guidance. Trader consensus favoring 13°C at over 50% implied probability reflects the day's observed floor so far, limited further cooling potential from wind mixing, and uncertainty in exact overnight radiative cooling before resolution. Updated model runs and official minimum readings will determine final settlement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$17,697結束日期
2026-08-28市場開放時間
Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Recent official forecasts from MetService and international models show Wellington's minimum temperature on August 28 likely falling to 9–11°C overnight amid clearing conditions, strong northwesterly winds, and moderate humidity after daytime highs near 14°C. This aligns with historical late-August averages of 8–12°C but positions cooler outcomes like 10°C or 11°C as scientifically plausible based on current observations near 13°C and ensemble guidance. Trader consensus favoring 13°C at over 50% implied probability reflects the day's observed floor so far, limited further cooling potential from wind mixing, and uncertainty in exact overnight radiative cooling before resolution. Updated model runs and official minimum readings will determine final settlement.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions