Recent official forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and international models indicate persistently hot, humid conditions over Wuhan through August 28, with overnight lows expected near 27–28°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly winds. This range reflects typical late-summer radiative cooling under the lingering influence of the western Pacific subtropical high, which has maintained above-average temperatures following the end of the Sanfu period. Minor variations in cloud cover, humidity, or scattered showers could shift the minimum by 1–2°C, creating the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 25–30°C. Updated model runs and local observations on August 27–28 will provide the clearest signals for final resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月28日武漢最低氣溫?
24°C 89%
31°C 65%
32°C or higher 48%
26°C 47%
22°C or below
9%
23°C
34%
24°C
89%
25°C
46%
26°C
47%
27°C
47%
28°C
46%
29°C
46%
30°C
45%
31°C
65%
32°C or higher
48%
24°C 89%
31°C 65%
32°C or higher 48%
26°C 47%
22°C or below
9%
23°C
34%
24°C
89%
25°C
46%
26°C
47%
27°C
47%
28°C
46%
29°C
46%
30°C
45%
31°C
65%
32°C or higher
48%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent official forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and international models indicate persistently hot, humid conditions over Wuhan through August 28, with overnight lows expected near 27–28°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly winds. This range reflects typical late-summer radiative cooling under the lingering influence of the western Pacific subtropical high, which has maintained above-average temperatures following the end of the Sanfu period. Minor variations in cloud cover, humidity, or scattered showers could shift the minimum by 1–2°C, creating the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 25–30°C. Updated model runs and local observations on August 27–28 will provide the clearest signals for final resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions