Current short-range forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and regional models indicate overnight lows in Madrid on September 1 around 16–21 °C under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light northeasterly flow typical of late-summer anticyclonic conditions. This places the most likely minimum near the 1991–2020 average of 17.8 °C, with minimal model spread and no incoming fronts or moisture to drive cooler or warmer deviations. Trader odds remain closely balanced between the sub-17 °C and mid-20 °C bins because resolution hinges on the precise hourly minimum at official stations, where small radiative cooling differences under clear conditions can shift the outcome by 1–2 °C. Updated model runs and official observations through August 31 will be the next key data points.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月1日馬德裏最低氣溫？
9月1日馬德裏最低氣溫？
26°C or higher 82%
20°C 42%
21°C 42%
22°C 42%
最新
最新
2026-09-01
16°C or below
31%
17°C
31%
18°C
31%
19°C
26%
20°C
42%
21°C
42%
22°C
42%
23°C
2%
24°C
8%
25°C
8%
26°C or higher
82%
26°C or higher 82%
20°C 42%
21°C 42%
22°C 42%
最新
最新
2026-09-01
16°C or below
$0 交易量
31%
17°C
$0 交易量
31%
18°C
$0 交易量
31%
19°C
$0 交易量
26%
20°C
$0 交易量
42%
21°C
$0 交易量
42%
22°C
$0 交易量
42%
23°C
$0 交易量
2%
24°C
$0 交易量
8%
25°C
$0 交易量
8%
26°C or higher
$0 交易量
82%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and regional models indicate overnight lows in Madrid on September 1 around 16–21 °C under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light northeasterly flow typical of late-summer anticyclonic conditions. This places the most likely minimum near the 1991–2020 average of 17.8 °C, with minimal model spread and no incoming fronts or moisture to drive cooler or warmer deviations. Trader odds remain closely balanced between the sub-17 °C and mid-20 °C bins because resolution hinges on the precise hourly minimum at official stations, where small radiative cooling differences under clear conditions can shift the outcome by 1–2 °C. Updated model runs and official observations through August 31 will be the next key data points.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-09-01市場開放時間
Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and regional models indicate overnight lows in Madrid on September 1 around 16–21 °C under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light northeasterly flow typical of late-summer anticyclonic conditions. This places the most likely minimum near the 1991–2020 average of 17.8 °C, with minimal model spread and no incoming fronts or moisture to drive cooler or warmer deviations. Trader odds remain closely balanced between the sub-17 °C and mid-20 °C bins because resolution hinges on the precise hourly minimum at official stations, where small radiative cooling differences under clear conditions can shift the outcome by 1–2 °C. Updated model runs and official observations through August 31 will be the next key data points.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-09-01市場開放時間
Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ETCurrent short-range forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and regional models indicate overnight lows in Madrid on September 1 around 16–21 °C under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light northeasterly flow typical of late-summer anticyclonic conditions. This places the most likely minimum near the 1991–2020 average of 17.8 °C, with minimal model spread and no incoming fronts or moisture to drive cooler or warmer deviations. Trader odds remain closely balanced between the sub-17 °C and mid-20 °C bins because resolution hinges on the precise hourly minimum at official stations, where small radiative cooling differences under clear conditions can shift the outcome by 1–2 °C. Updated model runs and official observations through August 31 will be the next key data points.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions