Recent forecasts from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a nighttime low in Wuhan around 24–25°C on August 31, driven by northerly winds and cloud cover associated with a typhoon inverted trough. Persistent overcast skies and scattered rain limit nocturnal radiative cooling while moderate humidity and 3–5 m/s winds from the north advect slightly cooler air, narrowing the range versus typical late-August baselines near 26–27°C. Model consensus favors 24°C as the most probable minimum, though small shifts in cloud timing or wind strength could push readings to 23°C or 25°C by dawn on September 1. Trader positioning reflects this tight uncertainty band ahead of official station observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月31日武漢最低氣溫?
24°C 33%
25°C 27%
23°C 26%
26°C 25%
21°C or below
2%
22°C
24%
23°C
26%
24°C
33%
25°C
27%
26°C
25%
27°C
25%
28°C
2%
29°C
8%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
1%
24°C 33%
25°C 27%
23°C 26%
26°C 25%
21°C or below
2%
22°C
24%
23°C
26%
24°C
33%
25°C
27%
26°C
25%
27°C
25%
28°C
2%
29°C
8%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a nighttime low in Wuhan around 24–25°C on August 31, driven by northerly winds and cloud cover associated with a typhoon inverted trough. Persistent overcast skies and scattered rain limit nocturnal radiative cooling while moderate humidity and 3–5 m/s winds from the north advect slightly cooler air, narrowing the range versus typical late-August baselines near 26–27°C. Model consensus favors 24°C as the most probable minimum, though small shifts in cloud timing or wind strength could push readings to 23°C or 25°C by dawn on September 1. Trader positioning reflects this tight uncertainty band ahead of official station observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions