Current weather model consensus from sources including the Met Office and regional forecasts points to a minimum temperature of 30–32°C in Jeddah on August 31, consistent with typical late-summer Red Sea coastal conditions of light northwest winds, high humidity near 50%, and minimal cloud cover that limits overnight radiative cooling. Historical August lows average 28–30°C, with recent observations showing no major cooling anomalies or frontal systems. Trader sentiment remains dispersed across 29–35°C outcomes due to small differences in model runs for the precise overnight low and official station measurement criteria, while probabilities below 27°C reflect the low likelihood of atypical advection or stronger winds. Updated model guidance ahead of the 31st observation window represents the key near-term data point.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於吉達8月31日的最低溫度?
35°C or higher 75%
25°C or below 53%
27°C 43%
26°C 39%
25°C or below
53%
26°C
39%
27°C
43%
28°C
23%
29°C
21%
30°C
26%
31°C
27%
32°C
26%
33°C
25%
34°C
16%
35°C or higher
75%
35°C or higher 75%
25°C or below 53%
27°C 43%
26°C 39%
25°C or below
53%
26°C
39%
27°C
43%
28°C
23%
29°C
21%
30°C
26%
31°C
27%
32°C
26%
33°C
25%
34°C
16%
35°C or higher
75%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 29, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current weather model consensus from sources including the Met Office and regional forecasts points to a minimum temperature of 30–32°C in Jeddah on August 31, consistent with typical late-summer Red Sea coastal conditions of light northwest winds, high humidity near 50%, and minimal cloud cover that limits overnight radiative cooling. Historical August lows average 28–30°C, with recent observations showing no major cooling anomalies or frontal systems. Trader sentiment remains dispersed across 29–35°C outcomes due to small differences in model runs for the precise overnight low and official station measurement criteria, while probabilities below 27°C reflect the low likelihood of atypical advection or stronger winds. Updated model guidance ahead of the 31st observation window represents the key near-term data point.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions