Recent forecasts for Busan on August 31 point to overnight lows near 25–26°C amid persistent high humidity, a stationary front, and scattered showers or thunderstorms, which limit radiative cooling under cloudy skies. This aligns with late-summer patterns featuring tropical moisture and minimal overnight drops, though model runs show modest variance in timing of any clearing or wind shifts that could allow brief cooling toward 24°C or lower. Trader consensus, with 25°C and 26°C outcomes closely matched near 27% and 26.5% implied probability, reflects this narrow range of outcomes, while the 30% odds on 21°C or below may incorporate tail risk from stronger frontal passage or updated guidance. New regional model updates and official Korean Meteorological Administration briefings in the next 48 hours will likely refine the minimum temperature trajectory ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月31日是釜山的最低溫度？
8月31日是釜山的最低溫度？
21°C or below 58%
22°C 49%
23°C 49%
31°C or higher 29%
最新
最新
2026-08-31
21°C or below
58%
22°C
49%
23°C
49%
24°C
24%
25°C
27%
26°C
28%
27°C
26%
28°C
2%
29°C
8%
30°C
8%
31°C or higher
29%
21°C or below 58%
22°C 49%
23°C 49%
31°C or higher 29%
最新
最新
2026-08-31
21°C or below
$0 交易量
58%
22°C
$0 交易量
49%
23°C
$0 交易量
49%
24°C
$0 交易量
24%
25°C
$0 交易量
27%
26°C
$0 交易量
28%
27°C
$0 交易量
26%
28°C
$0 交易量
2%
29°C
$0 交易量
8%
30°C
$0 交易量
8%
31°C or higher
$130 交易量
29%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Busan on August 31 point to overnight lows near 25–26°C amid persistent high humidity, a stationary front, and scattered showers or thunderstorms, which limit radiative cooling under cloudy skies. This aligns with late-summer patterns featuring tropical moisture and minimal overnight drops, though model runs show modest variance in timing of any clearing or wind shifts that could allow brief cooling toward 24°C or lower. Trader consensus, with 25°C and 26°C outcomes closely matched near 27% and 26.5% implied probability, reflects this narrow range of outcomes, while the 30% odds on 21°C or below may incorporate tail risk from stronger frontal passage or updated guidance. New regional model updates and official Korean Meteorological Administration briefings in the next 48 hours will likely refine the minimum temperature trajectory ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 29, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$130結束日期
2026-08-31市場開放時間
Aug 29, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Busan on August 31 point to overnight lows near 25–26°C amid persistent high humidity, a stationary front, and scattered showers or thunderstorms, which limit radiative cooling under cloudy skies. This aligns with late-summer patterns featuring tropical moisture and minimal overnight drops, though model runs show modest variance in timing of any clearing or wind shifts that could allow brief cooling toward 24°C or lower. Trader consensus, with 25°C and 26°C outcomes closely matched near 27% and 26.5% implied probability, reflects this narrow range of outcomes, while the 30% odds on 21°C or below may incorporate tail risk from stronger frontal passage or updated guidance. New regional model updates and official Korean Meteorological Administration briefings in the next 48 hours will likely refine the minimum temperature trajectory ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$130結束日期
2026-08-31市場開放時間
Aug 29, 2026, 12:31 AM ETRecent forecasts for Busan on August 31 point to overnight lows near 25–26°C amid persistent high humidity, a stationary front, and scattered showers or thunderstorms, which limit radiative cooling under cloudy skies. This aligns with late-summer patterns featuring tropical moisture and minimal overnight drops, though model runs show modest variance in timing of any clearing or wind shifts that could allow brief cooling toward 24°C or lower. Trader consensus, with 25°C and 26°C outcomes closely matched near 27% and 26.5% implied probability, reflects this narrow range of outcomes, while the 30% odds on 21°C or below may incorporate tail risk from stronger frontal passage or updated guidance. New regional model updates and official Korean Meteorological Administration briefings in the next 48 hours will likely refine the minimum temperature trajectory ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions